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icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 12th Overall Pick

2026 NBA Draft: 12th Overall Pick

icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 12th Overall Pick

2026 NBA Draft: 12th Overall Pick

Aday Mara 100.0%

Caleb Wilson <1%

Yaxel Lendeborg <1%

Cameron Carr <1%

Polymarket

$57,334 Vol.

Aday Mara 100.0%

Caleb Wilson <1%

Yaxel Lendeborg <1%

Cameron Carr <1%

Polymarket

$57,334 Vol.

Caleb Wilson

$10,374 Vol.

No

Yaxel Lendeborg

$1,514 Vol.

No

Cameron Carr

$1,509 Vol.

No

Labaron Philon Jr.

$1,509 Vol.

No

Dailyn Swain

$162 Vol.

No

Allen Graves

$162 Vol.

No

Jayden Quaintance

$162 Vol.

No

AJ Dybantsa

$734 Vol.

No

Keaton Wagler

$567 Vol.

No

Mikel Brown Jr.

$1,548 Vol.

No

Karim López

$68 Vol.

No

Isaiah Evans

$162 Vol.

No

Sergio de Larrea

$162 Vol.

No

Christian Anderson

$162 Vol.

No

Darius Acuff Jr.

$1,921 Vol.

No

Hannes Steinbach

$1,509 Vol.

No

Aday Mara

$5,899 Vol.

Yes

Bennett Stirtz

$157 Vol.

No

Chris Cenac Jr.

$162 Vol.

No

Koa Peat

$162 Vol.

No

Henri Veesaar

$167 Vol.

No

Cameron Boozer

$10,519 Vol.

No

Kingston Flemings

$1,619 Vol.

No

Nate Ament

$1,515 Vol.

No

Morez Johnson Jr.

$1,467 Vol.

No

Meleek Thomas

$162 Vol.

No

Darryn Peterson

$10,680 Vol.

No

Brayden Burries

$2,382 Vol.

No

Ebuka Okorie

$62 Vol.

No

Joshua Jefferson

$162 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted twelfth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NBA Draft class features significant depth through the mid-first round, with multiple prospects holding comparable scouting grades and versatile skill sets that align with varied team needs at pick 12. Recent pre-draft workouts, official injury reports, and shifting mock projections have kept players such as Caleb Wilson, Cameron Boozer, AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, Mikel Brown Jr., and several others clustered together, as front offices weigh positional fits, athletic testing, and recent college performance. Ongoing trade activity, including deals impacting later lottery selections, plus the potential for last-minute roster adjustments, has reinforced the even distribution of implied probabilities. This setup reflects broad trader consensus on the lack of a clear separation among a deep group of perimeter and frontcourt options.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted twelfth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$57,334
Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted twelfth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted twelfth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NBA Draft class features significant depth through the mid-first round, with multiple prospects holding comparable scouting grades and versatile skill sets that align with varied team needs at pick 12. Recent pre-draft workouts, official injury reports, and shifting mock projections have kept players such as Caleb Wilson, Cameron Boozer, AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, Mikel Brown Jr., and several others clustered together, as front offices weigh positional fits, athletic testing, and recent college performance. Ongoing trade activity, including deals impacting later lottery selections, plus the potential for last-minute roster adjustments, has reinforced the even distribution of implied probabilities. This setup reflects broad trader consensus on the lack of a clear separation among a deep group of perimeter and frontcourt options.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted twelfth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$57,334
Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted twelfth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NBA Draft: 12th Overall Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aday Mara" at 100%, followed by "Caleb Wilson" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NBA Draft: 12th Overall Pick" has generated $57.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NBA Draft: 12th Overall Pick," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NBA Draft: 12th Overall Pick" is "Aday Mara" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Caleb Wilson" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NBA Draft: 12th Overall Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.