Gavin McKenna dominates trader consensus as the projected No. 1 pick in the 2026 NHL Draft at 76% implied probability, solidified by NHL Central Scouting's final rankings released April 16 naming him the top North American skater by a considerable margin after exceeding expectations with 51 points in 35 NCAA games as a Penn State freshman. His elite skating, hockey sense, and playmaking have pulled him ahead in recent lists from Daily Faceoff pre-U18 Worlds and TSN's Craig Button, reclaiming the top spot post-World Juniors. Ivar Stenberg trails at 10.4% as the top international skater via strong SHL production with Frölunda and explosive compete level, while Brooks Rogowski's 4.5% reflects solid but distant top-10 positioning amid a deep class; upcoming U18 Worlds could influence late shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGavin McKenna 76%
Ivar Stenberg 14.6%
Brooks Rogowski 4.5%
Chase Reid 2.4%
$257,846 Vol.
$257,846 Vol.
Gavin McKenna
76%
Ivar Stenberg
10%
Brooks Rogowski
5%
Chase Reid
2%
Viggo Björck
2%
Mikey Berchild
1%
Keaton Verhoeff
1%
Nikita Shcherbakov
1%
Carson Carels
1%
Oliver Suvanto
<1%
Maddox Dagenais
<1%
Tynan Lawrence
<1%
Caleb Malhotra
<1%
Ethan Belchetz
<1%
Ilya Morozov
<1%
Alexander Command
<1%
Ryan Lin
<1%
Daxon Rudolph
<1%
Adam Novotný
<1%
Elton Hermansson
<1%
Mathis Preston
<1%
Juho Piiparinen
<1%
JP Hurlbert
<1%
Marcus Nordmark
<1%
Oscar Hemming
<1%
Yegor Shilov
<1%
William Hakansson
<1%
Nikita Klepov
<1%
Pierce Mbuyi
<1%
Ryan Roobroeck
<1%
Tomas Chrenko
<1%
Jack Hextall
<1%
Niklas Aaram-Olsen
<1%
Wyatt Cullen
<1%
Alessandro Di Iorio
<1%
Giorgos Pantelas
<1%
Jaxon Cover
<1%
Adam Goljer
<1%
Beckham Edwards
<1%
Simas Ignatavicius
<1%
Liam Ruck
<1%
Victor Plante
<1%
Adam Nemec
<1%
Luke Schairer
<1%
Casey Mutryn
<1%
Alberts Smits
<1%
Xavier Villeneuve
<1%
Malte Gustafsson
<1%
Adam Valentini
<1%
Oscar Holmertz
<1%
Gavin McKenna 76%
Ivar Stenberg 14.6%
Brooks Rogowski 4.5%
Chase Reid 2.4%
$257,846 Vol.
$257,846 Vol.
Gavin McKenna
76%
Ivar Stenberg
10%
Brooks Rogowski
5%
Chase Reid
2%
Viggo Björck
2%
Mikey Berchild
1%
Keaton Verhoeff
1%
Nikita Shcherbakov
1%
Carson Carels
1%
Oliver Suvanto
<1%
Maddox Dagenais
<1%
Tynan Lawrence
<1%
Caleb Malhotra
<1%
Ethan Belchetz
<1%
Ilya Morozov
<1%
Alexander Command
<1%
Ryan Lin
<1%
Daxon Rudolph
<1%
Adam Novotný
<1%
Elton Hermansson
<1%
Mathis Preston
<1%
Juho Piiparinen
<1%
JP Hurlbert
<1%
Marcus Nordmark
<1%
Oscar Hemming
<1%
Yegor Shilov
<1%
William Hakansson
<1%
Nikita Klepov
<1%
Pierce Mbuyi
<1%
Ryan Roobroeck
<1%
Tomas Chrenko
<1%
Jack Hextall
<1%
Niklas Aaram-Olsen
<1%
Wyatt Cullen
<1%
Alessandro Di Iorio
<1%
Giorgos Pantelas
<1%
Jaxon Cover
<1%
Adam Goljer
<1%
Beckham Edwards
<1%
Simas Ignatavicius
<1%
Liam Ruck
<1%
Victor Plante
<1%
Adam Nemec
<1%
Luke Schairer
<1%
Casey Mutryn
<1%
Alberts Smits
<1%
Xavier Villeneuve
<1%
Malte Gustafsson
<1%
Adam Valentini
<1%
Oscar Holmertz
<1%
If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.
If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.
If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gavin McKenna dominates trader consensus as the projected No. 1 pick in the 2026 NHL Draft at 76% implied probability, solidified by NHL Central Scouting's final rankings released April 16 naming him the top North American skater by a considerable margin after exceeding expectations with 51 points in 35 NCAA games as a Penn State freshman. His elite skating, hockey sense, and playmaking have pulled him ahead in recent lists from Daily Faceoff pre-U18 Worlds and TSN's Craig Button, reclaiming the top spot post-World Juniors. Ivar Stenberg trails at 10.4% as the top international skater via strong SHL production with Frölunda and explosive compete level, while Brooks Rogowski's 4.5% reflects solid but distant top-10 positioning amid a deep class; upcoming U18 Worlds could influence late shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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