Trader consensus positions Lens as the clear Coupe de France favorite at 63% implied probability, bolstered by their home semi-final advantage at Stade Bollaert-Delelis against Toulouse and a gritty quarterfinal penalty shoot-out victory over Lyon just weeks ago, showcasing defensive resilience and momentum. Toulouse's 45% reflects their stunning upset of Marseille on penalties in the quarters, proving knockout pedigree despite a mid-table Ligue 1 standing. Nice (42%) and Strasbourg (40%) remain competitive after Nice's extra-time triumph over Lorient and Strasbourg's solid win versus Reims, with all-Ligue 1 semis on April 21-22 heightening rivalry intensity amid clean injury reports and strong recent form. Odds capture the wisdom of crowds in this tightly contested path to the final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNice 93%
Strasbourg 46%
Toulouse 45%
Lens 0
Nice
93%
Strasbourg
46%
Toulouse
45%
Lens
63%
Nice 93%
Strasbourg 46%
Toulouse 45%
Lens 0
Nice
93%
Strasbourg
46%
Toulouse
45%
Lens
63%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Coupe de France per the rules of Coupe de France (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Coupe de France; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Coupe de France per the rules of Coupe de France (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Coupe de France; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Lens as the clear Coupe de France favorite at 63% implied probability, bolstered by their home semi-final advantage at Stade Bollaert-Delelis against Toulouse and a gritty quarterfinal penalty shoot-out victory over Lyon just weeks ago, showcasing defensive resilience and momentum. Toulouse's 45% reflects their stunning upset of Marseille on penalties in the quarters, proving knockout pedigree despite a mid-table Ligue 1 standing. Nice (42%) and Strasbourg (40%) remain competitive after Nice's extra-time triumph over Lorient and Strasbourg's solid win versus Reims, with all-Ligue 1 semis on April 21-22 heightening rivalry intensity amid clean injury reports and strong recent form. Odds capture the wisdom of crowds in this tightly contested path to the final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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