Rory McIlroy's second straight Masters victory last week propelled him to 26.5% implied probability as traders reward his momentum and East Lake course history, including prior TOUR Championship contention, while Xander Schauffele leads at 29% on a hot streak with third at THE PLAYERS Championship, T4 Valspar, and T9 Masters. Scottie Scheffler sits third at 21.5% despite trailing FedExCup leader Cameron Young by just five points, bolstered by his Masters runner-up and four top-10s this season. Min Woo Lee's 18.5% reflects early firepower like T2 Pebble Beach Pro-Am and T3 Houston Open. The bunched top reflects razor-thin FedExCup standings atop a deep field of 30, where starting strokes favor points leaders but proven ball-strikers thrive on East Lake's demanding layout amid four months of remaining signature events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRory McIlroy 27%
Xander Schauffele 23%
Scottie Scheffler 22%
Min Woo Lee 18%
Rory McIlroy
27%
Xander Schauffele
23%
Scottie Scheffler
22%
Min Woo Lee
18%
Matt Fitzpatrick
9%
Tommy Fleetwood
9%
Cameron Young
8%
Ryo Hisatsune
8%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
8%
Collin Morikawa
7%
Ludvig Åberg
7%
Justin Rose
6%
Jake Knapp
6%
Russell Henley
5%
Akshay Bhatia
5%
Robert MacIntyre
5%
Sam Burns
5%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Daniel Berger
5%
Hideki Matsuyama
5%
Adam Scott
4%
Jacob Bridgeman
4%
Sepp Straka
4%
Si Woo Kim
4%
Nicolai Højgaard
3%
Sahith Theegala
3%
J.J. Spaun
3%
Ryan Gerard
3%
Gary Woodland
2%
Nico Echavarria
2%
Rory McIlroy 27%
Xander Schauffele 23%
Scottie Scheffler 22%
Min Woo Lee 18%
Rory McIlroy
27%
Xander Schauffele
23%
Scottie Scheffler
22%
Min Woo Lee
18%
Matt Fitzpatrick
9%
Tommy Fleetwood
9%
Cameron Young
8%
Ryo Hisatsune
8%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
8%
Collin Morikawa
7%
Ludvig Åberg
7%
Justin Rose
6%
Jake Knapp
6%
Russell Henley
5%
Akshay Bhatia
5%
Robert MacIntyre
5%
Sam Burns
5%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Daniel Berger
5%
Hideki Matsuyama
5%
Adam Scott
4%
Jacob Bridgeman
4%
Sepp Straka
4%
Si Woo Kim
4%
Nicolai Højgaard
3%
Sahith Theegala
3%
J.J. Spaun
3%
Ryan Gerard
3%
Gary Woodland
2%
Nico Echavarria
2%
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rory McIlroy's second straight Masters victory last week propelled him to 26.5% implied probability as traders reward his momentum and East Lake course history, including prior TOUR Championship contention, while Xander Schauffele leads at 29% on a hot streak with third at THE PLAYERS Championship, T4 Valspar, and T9 Masters. Scottie Scheffler sits third at 21.5% despite trailing FedExCup leader Cameron Young by just five points, bolstered by his Masters runner-up and four top-10s this season. Min Woo Lee's 18.5% reflects early firepower like T2 Pebble Beach Pro-Am and T3 Houston Open. The bunched top reflects razor-thin FedExCup standings atop a deep field of 30, where starting strokes favor points leaders but proven ball-strikers thrive on East Lake's demanding layout amid four months of remaining signature events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions