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PGA TOUR Championship: Winner

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PGA TOUR Championship: Winner

Rory McIlroy 27%

Xander Schauffele 23%

Scottie Scheffler 22%

Min Woo Lee 18%

Polymarket
NEW

Rory McIlroy 27%

Xander Schauffele 23%

Scottie Scheffler 22%

Min Woo Lee 18%

Polymarket
NEW

Rory McIlroy

$0 Vol.

27%

Xander Schauffele

$0 Vol.

23%

Scottie Scheffler

$0 Vol.

22%

Min Woo Lee

$0 Vol.

18%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

9%

Tommy Fleetwood

$0 Vol.

9%

Cameron Young

$0 Vol.

8%

Ryo Hisatsune

$0 Vol.

8%

Sudarshan Yellamaraju

$0 Vol.

8%

Collin Morikawa

$0 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Åberg

$132 Vol.

7%

Justin Rose

$0 Vol.

6%

Jake Knapp

$33 Vol.

6%

Russell Henley

$0 Vol.

5%

Akshay Bhatia

$39 Vol.

5%

Robert MacIntyre

$0 Vol.

5%

Sam Burns

$39 Vol.

5%

Chris Gotterup

$0 Vol.

5%

Daniel Berger

$0 Vol.

5%

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

5%

Adam Scott

$0 Vol.

4%

Jacob Bridgeman

$0 Vol.

4%

Sepp Straka

$0 Vol.

4%

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

4%

Nicolai Højgaard

$0 Vol.

3%

Sahith Theegala

$0 Vol.

3%

J.J. Spaun

$131 Vol.

3%

Ryan Gerard

$0 Vol.

3%

Gary Woodland

$136 Vol.

2%

Nico Echavarria

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Rory McIlroy's second straight Masters victory last week propelled him to 26.5% implied probability as traders reward his momentum and East Lake course history, including prior TOUR Championship contention, while Xander Schauffele leads at 29% on a hot streak with third at THE PLAYERS Championship, T4 Valspar, and T9 Masters. Scottie Scheffler sits third at 21.5% despite trailing FedExCup leader Cameron Young by just five points, bolstered by his Masters runner-up and four top-10s this season. Min Woo Lee's 18.5% reflects early firepower like T2 Pebble Beach Pro-Am and T3 Houston Open. The bunched top reflects razor-thin FedExCup standings atop a deep field of 30, where starting strokes favor points leaders but proven ball-strikers thrive on East Lake's demanding layout amid four months of remaining signature events.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.

If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$511
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Rory McIlroy's second straight Masters victory last week propelled him to 26.5% implied probability as traders reward his momentum and East Lake course history, including prior TOUR Championship contention, while Xander Schauffele leads at 29% on a hot streak with third at THE PLAYERS Championship, T4 Valspar, and T9 Masters. Scottie Scheffler sits third at 21.5% despite trailing FedExCup leader Cameron Young by just five points, bolstered by his Masters runner-up and four top-10s this season. Min Woo Lee's 18.5% reflects early firepower like T2 Pebble Beach Pro-Am and T3 Houston Open. The bunched top reflects razor-thin FedExCup standings atop a deep field of 30, where starting strokes favor points leaders but proven ball-strikers thrive on East Lake's demanding layout amid four months of remaining signature events.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.

If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$511
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA TOUR Championship: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 27%, followed by "Xander Schauffele" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PGA TOUR Championship: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PGA TOUR Championship: Winner," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA TOUR Championship: Winner" is "Rory McIlroy" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Xander Schauffele" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA TOUR Championship: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.