Market icon
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner

Alex Smalley 50.0%

Robert MacIntyre 14.1%

Andrew Putnam 13.7%

Rickie Fowler 11.6%

Polymarket

$256,885 Vol.

Alex Smalley 50.0%

Robert MacIntyre 14.1%

Andrew Putnam 13.7%

Rickie Fowler 11.6%

Polymarket

$256,885 Vol.

Alex Smalley

$5 Vol.

50%

Robert MacIntyre

$1,233 Vol.

14%

Andrew Putnam

$77 Vol.

14%

Rickie Fowler

$269 Vol.

24%

Ludvig Aberg

$9,276 Vol.

10%

Tommy Fleetwood

$2,301 Vol.

8%

Mark Hubbard

$1,067 Vol.

7%

Michael Kim

$1,355 Vol.

6%

Maverick McNealy

$1,103 Vol.

6%

Eric Cole

$280 Vol.

6%

William Mouw

$1,508 Vol.

6%

Tony Finau

$1,594 Vol.

4%

Marco Penge

$805 Vol.

4%

Max Homa

$465 Vol.

4%

Chad Ramey

$65 Vol.

3%

Steven Fisk

$3,698 Vol.

3%

Jordan L. Smith

$1,327 Vol.

3%

Ryo Hisatsune

$1,375 Vol.

2%

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

$122 Vol.

2%

Mac Meissner

$110 Vol.

24%

J.J. Spaun

$295 Vol.

2%

Andrew Novak

$415 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$2,509 Vol.

2%

Keith Mitchell

$7,587 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$3,790 Vol.

2%

Brian Harman

$1,365 Vol.

1%

Stephan Jaeger

$460 Vol.

24%

Nick Dunlap

$85 Vol.

23%

Chris Kirk

$1,118 Vol.

24%

Christo Lamprecht

$220 Vol.

25%

Hideki Matsuyama

$954 Vol.

1%

Zach Bauchou

$155 Vol.

24%

Chandler Blanchet

$260 Vol.

24%

Daniel Brown

$70 Vol.

21%

Austin Eckroat

$55 Vol.

24%

A.J. Ewart

$85 Vol.

24%

Tom Kim

$360 Vol.

24%

Hao-Tong Li

$73 Vol.

24%

Kristoffer Reitan

$55 Vol.

24%

Kevin Roy

$55 Vol.

24%

Adrien Saddier

$55 Vol.

24%

Adam Schenk

$55 Vol.

24%

Brandt Snedeker

$55 Vol.

24%

Ze-Cheng Dou

$55 Vol.

24%

Emiliano Grillo

$70 Vol.

24%

Garrick Higgo

$55 Vol.

24%

Lee Hodges

$85 Vol.

24%

Rico Hoey

$5 Vol.

1%

Beau Hossler

$85 Vol.

23%

Takumi Kanaya

$80 Vol.

23%

Jeffrey Kang

$55 Vol.

24%

Bud Cauley

$55 Vol.

24%

Mackenzie Hughes

$60 Vol.

23%

Denny McCarthy

$35,182 Vol.

1%

Max McGreevy

$95 Vol.

23%

Thorbjorn Olesen

$13,898 Vol.

1%

JT Poston

$58 Vol.

24%

Seamus Power

$55 Vol.

24%

Doug Ghim

$55 Vol.

24%

Henry Lebioda

$70 Vol.

20%

David Lipsky

$1,666 Vol.

1%

Peter Malnati

$55 Vol.

24%

Si Woo Kim

$46,114 Vol.

1%

Pontus Nyholm

$203 Vol.

24%

Matthieu Pavon

$203 Vol.

24%

Patton Kizzire

$222 Vol.

24%

Russell Henley

$6,055 Vol.

1%

Joe Highsmith

$222 Vol.

24%

Kensei Hirata

$240 Vol.

24%

Billy Horschel

$227 Vol.

24%

Alexander Noren

$273 Vol.

1%

Austin Smotherman

$1,659 Vol.

1%

Tom Hoge

$263 Vol.

23%

Seong-Hyeon Kim

$1,390 Vol.

25%

John Parry

$20 Vol.

1%

David Ford

$130 Vol.

<1%

Ricky Castillo

$1,774 Vol.

<1%

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

$80 Vol.

24%

Patrick Fishburn

$135 Vol.

<1%

Johnny Keefer

$35,310 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Campos

$1,008 Vol.

<1%

Marcelo Rozo

$862 Vol.

<1%

Webb Simpson

$1,942 Vol.

<1%

Lucas Glover

$1,098 Vol.

<1%

Luke Clanton

$1,106 Vol.

<1%

Matt McCarty

$80 Vol.

24%

Chandler Phillips

$1,010 Vol.

<1%

Neal Shipley

$1,227 Vol.

<1%

Davis Chatfield

$1,231 Vol.

<1%

Brice Garnett

$1,037 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Berger

$1,768 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Rodgers

$2,567 Vol.

<1%

Isaiah Salinda

$1,252 Vol.

<1%

Gordon Sargent

$675 Vol.

<1%

Matthias Schmid

$1,967 Vol.

<1%

Pierceson Coody

$2,504 Vol.

<1%

Charley Hoffman

$569 Vol.

<1%

Collin Morikawa

$37,075 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Gerard

$2,838 Vol.

<1%

Kyoung-Hoon Lee

$1,150 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Following a scorching first round at TPC San Antonio's Oaks Course, trader consensus bunches implied probabilities tightly around 25% for Ricky Castillo, Rico Hoey, David Lipsky, and Seong-Hyeon Kim, reflecting their shared lead or near-tie atop the leaderboard with low scores fueled by birdie barrages and key eagles—like Hoey's clutch finish on the par-5 18th—on the demanding, wind-exposed layout. This mid-tier surge sidelines pre-tournament favorites such as Ludvig Aberg (10.3%) and Tommy Fleetwood (8.3%), who trail by multiple strokes despite strong course histories, underscoring the Valero Texas Open's volatility where hot starts often dictate momentum into round two amid firm greens and strategic par-5 scoring opportunities.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$256,885
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Following a scorching first round at TPC San Antonio's Oaks Course, trader consensus bunches implied probabilities tightly around 25% for Ricky Castillo, Rico Hoey, David Lipsky, and Seong-Hyeon Kim, reflecting their shared lead or near-tie atop the leaderboard with low scores fueled by birdie barrages and key eagles—like Hoey's clutch finish on the par-5 18th—on the demanding, wind-exposed layout. This mid-tier surge sidelines pre-tournament favorites such as Ludvig Aberg (10.3%) and Tommy Fleetwood (8.3%), who trail by multiple strokes despite strong course histories, underscoring the Valero Texas Open's volatility where hot starts often dictate momentum into round two amid firm greens and strategic par-5 scoring opportunities.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$256,885
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Related

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Will Austin Eckroat finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

50%
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Will Brian Harman finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

51%
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Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

87%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 100+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alex Smalley" at 25%, followed by "Christo Lamprecht" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" has generated $256.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner," browse the 100+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" is "Alex Smalley" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Christo Lamprecht" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.