In the Agrigento runoff scheduled for June 7-8, trader consensus reflects a narrow contest between Michele Sodano of the center-left coalition and Gerlando Alonge of the center-right. First-round results from late May left Sodano just below the 40% threshold for outright victory at roughly 39%, while Alonge trailed at about 35%, with remaining votes split among two other candidates. This fragmentation on the right, combined with unified backing for Sodano from progressive lists including the PD, sets up a consolidated head-to-head where local turnout patterns and coalition mobilization will determine the outcome. The tight implied probabilities align with the limited margin between the frontrunners and the absence of major intervening events since the initial ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Michele Sodano
50%
Gerlando Alonge
48%
Michele Sodano
50%
Gerlando Alonge
48%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Agrigento as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Agrigento.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Agrigento as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Agrigento.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Agrigento runoff scheduled for June 7-8, trader consensus reflects a narrow contest between Michele Sodano of the center-left coalition and Gerlando Alonge of the center-right. First-round results from late May left Sodano just below the 40% threshold for outright victory at roughly 39%, while Alonge trailed at about 35%, with remaining votes split among two other candidates. This fragmentation on the right, combined with unified backing for Sodano from progressive lists including the PD, sets up a consolidated head-to-head where local turnout patterns and coalition mobilization will determine the outcome. The tight implied probabilities align with the limited margin between the frontrunners and the absence of major intervening events since the initial ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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