Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) to close above $180 on March 25, driven primarily by the stock's recent 8% rally from $162 lows earlier this month, fueled by AWS cloud growth optimism and AI infrastructure spending tailwinds. Current price hovers at $174.50 intraday, with market-implied odds reflecting bullish momentum from Fed's dovish March FOMC minutes signaling potential rate cuts. Key risks include broader Nasdaq volatility ahead of Friday's PCE inflation data release on March 29, which could sway tech sentiment if hotter-than-expected. Historical precedent shows AMZN often gaps up 1-2% on light volume Fridays, but trader capital tilts toward upside if it holds $173 support. Watch Nasdaq futures overnight for directional cues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$200
95%
$205
84%
$210
27%
$215
3%
$220
2%
$65 Vol.
$200
95%
$205
84%
$210
27%
$215
3%
$220
2%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) to close above $180 on March 25, driven primarily by the stock's recent 8% rally from $162 lows earlier this month, fueled by AWS cloud growth optimism and AI infrastructure spending tailwinds. Current price hovers at $174.50 intraday, with market-implied odds reflecting bullish momentum from Fed's dovish March FOMC minutes signaling potential rate cuts. Key risks include broader Nasdaq volatility ahead of Friday's PCE inflation data release on March 29, which could sway tech sentiment if hotter-than-expected. Historical precedent shows AMZN often gaps up 1-2% on light volume Fridays, but trader capital tilts toward upside if it holds $173 support. Watch Nasdaq futures overnight for directional cues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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