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Legal predictions & odds

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SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

87%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

97%

Pass 3-6%

$519K Vol.

$86.6K Liq.

62

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

15%

$10M Vol.

$163K Liq.

267

Ends in 8 months

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

91%

$32.7K Vol.

$25.2K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

53%

1-100

$165K Vol.

$173K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

5%

$34.4K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

13

Ends in 2 months

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

59%

$19.4K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 months

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

7%

$47.5K Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

9

Ends in 2 months

Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?

Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?

25%

$17.1K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

11%

$17.4K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

24%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$55.8K Liq.

71

Ends in 8 months

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

28%

$8.1K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

9%

$142K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

3%

Wells Fargo

$460K Vol.

$114K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

84%

Civilian Service Act

$14.5K Vol.

$31.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Don Lemon charges dropped?

Don Lemon charges dropped?

10%

$13.3K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

47%

Lucid

$129K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

21

Ends in 8 months

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

97%

Gracie Abrams

$252K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

18

Ends in 8 months

Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?

Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?

23%

$2.6K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

20%

December 31, 2026

$413K Vol.

$55.1K Liq.

47

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Legal.

Polymarket currently hosts 276 active markets for Legal that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? ”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $13.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Insurrection Act invoked by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 86% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Legal predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.