**Massive releases of historical Epstein investigative files under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act, culminating in the Department of Justice’s January 30, 2026, production of roughly 3.5 million pages plus videos and images, have generated extensive public and congressional scrutiny without yielding new U.S. federal or state indictments tied directly to the disclosures.** The materials primarily revisit prior Florida and New York cases, the Maxwell prosecution, and related FBI and inspector general reviews, many of which informed earlier non-prosecution decisions that remain in place. As of mid-June 2026, any related probes center on compliance, redactions, or oversight hearings rather than fresh criminal charges, while limited foreign actions have not triggered U.S. jurisdiction resolutions. Traders therefore assign an 88.5% implied probability to “No” by the December 31, 2026, cutoff, reflecting the absence of prosecutable developments from the post-December 2025 files to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$131,611 Vol.
$131,611 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$131,611 Vol.
$131,611 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Massive releases of historical Epstein investigative files under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act, culminating in the Department of Justice’s January 30, 2026, production of roughly 3.5 million pages plus videos and images, have generated extensive public and congressional scrutiny without yielding new U.S. federal or state indictments tied directly to the disclosures.** The materials primarily revisit prior Florida and New York cases, the Maxwell prosecution, and related FBI and inspector general reviews, many of which informed earlier non-prosecution decisions that remain in place. As of mid-June 2026, any related probes center on compliance, redactions, or oversight hearings rather than fresh criminal charges, while limited foreign actions have not triggered U.S. jurisdiction resolutions. Traders therefore assign an 88.5% implied probability to “No” by the December 31, 2026, cutoff, reflecting the absence of prosecutable developments from the post-December 2025 files to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
音量
$131,611終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Massive releases of historical Epstein investigative files under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act, culminating in the Department of Justice’s January 30, 2026, production of roughly 3.5 million pages plus videos and images, have generated extensive public and congressional scrutiny without yielding new U.S. federal or state indictments tied directly to the disclosures.** The materials primarily revisit prior Florida and New York cases, the Maxwell prosecution, and related FBI and inspector general reviews, many of which informed earlier non-prosecution decisions that remain in place. As of mid-June 2026, any related probes center on compliance, redactions, or oversight hearings rather than fresh criminal charges, while limited foreign actions have not triggered U.S. jurisdiction resolutions. Traders therefore assign an 88.5% implied probability to “No” by the December 31, 2026, cutoff, reflecting the absence of prosecutable developments from the post-December 2025 files to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$131,611終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Massive releases of historical Epstein investigative files under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act, culminating in the Department of Justice’s January 30, 2026, production of roughly 3.5 million pages plus videos and images, have generated extensive public and congressional scrutiny without yielding new U.S. federal or state indictments tied directly to the disclosures.** The materials primarily revisit prior Florida and New York cases, the Maxwell prosecution, and related FBI and inspector general reviews, many of which informed earlier non-prosecution decisions that remain in place. As of mid-June 2026, any related probes center on compliance, redactions, or oversight hearings rather than fresh criminal charges, while limited foreign actions have not triggered U.S. jurisdiction resolutions. Traders therefore assign an 88.5% implied probability to “No” by the December 31, 2026, cutoff, reflecting the absence of prosecutable developments from the post-December 2025 files to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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