The U.S. Supreme Court on April 6 cleared the path for the Trump administration's Justice Department to seek dismissal of Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction, tied to his refusal to comply with a January 6 committee subpoena; Bannon served a four-month sentence after the D.C. Circuit upheld the verdict in 2024. This ruling, prompted by DOJ's motion following Trump's inauguration, vacated the appellate decision for reconsideration, marking a major step toward potential case dismissal without a pardon. Yet trader consensus prices "No" at 69.5% implied probability, reflecting procedural hurdles in the D.C. Circuit—including judge review and formal order—that likely extend beyond the April 30 resolution deadline, tempering expectations for swift exoneration despite the favorable SCOTUS outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
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2026/04/30
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2026/04/30
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. Supreme Court on April 6 cleared the path for the Trump administration's Justice Department to seek dismissal of Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction, tied to his refusal to comply with a January 6 committee subpoena; Bannon served a four-month sentence after the D.C. Circuit upheld the verdict in 2024. This ruling, prompted by DOJ's motion following Trump's inauguration, vacated the appellate decision for reconsideration, marking a major step toward potential case dismissal without a pardon. Yet trader consensus prices "No" at 69.5% implied probability, reflecting procedural hurdles in the D.C. Circuit—including judge review and formal order—that likely extend beyond the April 30 resolution deadline, tempering expectations for swift exoneration despite the favorable SCOTUS outcome.
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
音量
$9,426終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. Supreme Court on April 6 cleared the path for the Trump administration's Justice Department to seek dismissal of Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction, tied to his refusal to comply with a January 6 committee subpoena; Bannon served a four-month sentence after the D.C. Circuit upheld the verdict in 2024. This ruling, prompted by DOJ's motion following Trump's inauguration, vacated the appellate decision for reconsideration, marking a major step toward potential case dismissal without a pardon. Yet trader consensus prices "No" at 69.5% implied probability, reflecting procedural hurdles in the D.C. Circuit—including judge review and formal order—that likely extend beyond the April 30 resolution deadline, tempering expectations for swift exoneration despite the favorable SCOTUS outcome.
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$9,426終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Supreme Court on April 6 cleared the path for the Trump administration's Justice Department to seek dismissal of Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction, tied to his refusal to comply with a January 6 committee subpoena; Bannon served a four-month sentence after the D.C. Circuit upheld the verdict in 2024. This ruling, prompted by DOJ's motion following Trump's inauguration, vacated the appellate decision for reconsideration, marking a major step toward potential case dismissal without a pardon. Yet trader consensus prices "No" at 69.5% implied probability, reflecting procedural hurdles in the D.C. Circuit—including judge review and formal order—that likely extend beyond the April 30 resolution deadline, tempering expectations for swift exoneration despite the favorable SCOTUS outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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