Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, age 76 and serving since 2006, publicly stated in August 2026 that he plans to remain on the bench for another term beginning in October, directly addressing retirement speculation. An erroneous NPR report in late June briefly fueled expectations of an immediate vacancy before being retracted, highlighting ongoing interest from conservatives in creating an opening for a Trump administration appointment. Lifetime tenure norms, Senate confirmation dynamics, and midterm election outcomes remain key variables that could influence timing, though Alito has dismissed pressure to step aside for strategic reasons.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$3,737,815 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
<1%
12月31日
9%
2027年6月30日
43%
$3,737,815 Vol.
9月30日
$1,141,792 Vol.
<1%
12月31日
$930,413 Vol.
9%
2027年6月30日
$63,946 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, age 76 and serving since 2006, publicly stated in August 2026 that he plans to remain on the bench for another term beginning in October, directly addressing retirement speculation. An erroneous NPR report in late June briefly fueled expectations of an immediate vacancy before being retracted, highlighting ongoing interest from conservatives in creating an opening for a Trump administration appointment. Lifetime tenure norms, Senate confirmation dynamics, and midterm election outcomes remain key variables that could influence timing, though Alito has dismissed pressure to step aside for strategic reasons.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$3,737,815終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, age 76 and serving since 2006, publicly stated in August 2026 that he plans to remain on the bench for another term beginning in October, directly addressing retirement speculation. An erroneous NPR report in late June briefly fueled expectations of an immediate vacancy before being retracted, highlighting ongoing interest from conservatives in creating an opening for a Trump administration appointment. Lifetime tenure norms, Senate confirmation dynamics, and midterm election outcomes remain key variables that could influence timing, though Alito has dismissed pressure to step aside for strategic reasons.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
音量
$3,737,815終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, age 76 and serving since 2006, publicly stated in August 2026 that he plans to remain on the bench for another term beginning in October, directly addressing retirement speculation. An erroneous NPR report in late June briefly fueled expectations of an immediate vacancy before being retracted, highlighting ongoing interest from conservatives in creating an opening for a Trump administration appointment. Lifetime tenure norms, Senate confirmation dynamics, and midterm election outcomes remain key variables that could influence timing, though Alito has dismissed pressure to step aside for strategic reasons.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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