Justice Samuel Alito, age 76 and appointed in 2006, has publicly rejected retirement speculation in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, stating he is “here for another term.” An erroneous June 2026 NPR report claiming his departure fueled brief rumors but was swiftly retracted after court confirmation of no announcement. Alito has hired a full complement of law clerks for the October 2026–June 2027 term, consistent with continued service. Trader consensus on an imminent retirement announcement by late September reflects these direct statements and procedural signals, alongside historical patterns of life-tenured justices timing exits around Senate control and presidential appointments. No subsequent developments have altered this positioning ahead of the new term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$3,609,958 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
1%
12月31日
6%
2027年6月30日
35%
$3,609,958 Vol.
9月30日
$1,101,350 Vol.
1%
12月31日
$857,881 Vol.
6%
2027年6月30日
$49,062 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76 and appointed in 2006, has publicly rejected retirement speculation in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, stating he is “here for another term.” An erroneous June 2026 NPR report claiming his departure fueled brief rumors but was swiftly retracted after court confirmation of no announcement. Alito has hired a full complement of law clerks for the October 2026–June 2027 term, consistent with continued service. Trader consensus on an imminent retirement announcement by late September reflects these direct statements and procedural signals, alongside historical patterns of life-tenured justices timing exits around Senate control and presidential appointments. No subsequent developments have altered this positioning ahead of the new term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$3,609,958終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76 and appointed in 2006, has publicly rejected retirement speculation in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, stating he is “here for another term.” An erroneous June 2026 NPR report claiming his departure fueled brief rumors but was swiftly retracted after court confirmation of no announcement. Alito has hired a full complement of law clerks for the October 2026–June 2027 term, consistent with continued service. Trader consensus on an imminent retirement announcement by late September reflects these direct statements and procedural signals, alongside historical patterns of life-tenured justices timing exits around Senate control and presidential appointments. No subsequent developments have altered this positioning ahead of the new term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
音量
$3,609,958終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Justice Samuel Alito, age 76 and appointed in 2006, has publicly rejected retirement speculation in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, stating he is “here for another term.” An erroneous June 2026 NPR report claiming his departure fueled brief rumors but was swiftly retracted after court confirmation of no announcement. Alito has hired a full complement of law clerks for the October 2026–June 2027 term, consistent with continued service. Trader consensus on an imminent retirement announcement by late September reflects these direct statements and procedural signals, alongside historical patterns of life-tenured justices timing exits around Senate control and presidential appointments. No subsequent developments have altered this positioning ahead of the new term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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