The Epstein Files Transparency Act, enacted in November 2025, prompted the Department of Justice to release approximately 3.5 million pages of documents, along with thousands of videos and images, on January 30, 2026. Officials described this batch as the final major production, following an earlier smaller release in December 2025 that missed the initial statutory deadline. Subsequent developments, including a federal judge’s May 2026 unsealing of a purported Epstein suicide note and ongoing congressional oversight hearings, have not triggered additional court-ordered or legislative mandates for a compiled client list tied to illegal activities. With no further scheduled disclosures or active litigation expected to produce new public files before June 30, trader consensus assigns low implied probability to a qualifying release by that date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$4,282,517 Vol.
6月30日
5%
$4,282,517 Vol.
6月30日
5%
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Dec 22, 2025, 7:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Epstein Files Transparency Act, enacted in November 2025, prompted the Department of Justice to release approximately 3.5 million pages of documents, along with thousands of videos and images, on January 30, 2026. Officials described this batch as the final major production, following an earlier smaller release in December 2025 that missed the initial statutory deadline. Subsequent developments, including a federal judge’s May 2026 unsealing of a purported Epstein suicide note and ongoing congressional oversight hearings, have not triggered additional court-ordered or legislative mandates for a compiled client list tied to illegal activities. With no further scheduled disclosures or active litigation expected to produce new public files before June 30, trader consensus assigns low implied probability to a qualifying release by that date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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