Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton seeks a third term against Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas's Class II Senate seat. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Cotton's primary victory securing 81.6% of the GOP vote in March, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Shoffner advanced from her party's primary but faces structural challenges in a state where Democrats have not won a Senate race in decades. No significant developments have emerged since the primaries to alter the race's trajectory. Late shifts could arise from national political realignments or candidate-specific events, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the state's electoral baseline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Arkansas
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Arkansas
$11,006 Vol.
$11,006 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
95%
Democrata
4%
$11,006 Vol.
$11,006 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$8,097 Vol.
95%
Democrata
$2,909 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton seeks a third term against Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas's Class II Senate seat. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Cotton's primary victory securing 81.6% of the GOP vote in March, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Shoffner advanced from her party's primary but faces structural challenges in a state where Democrats have not won a Senate race in decades. No significant developments have emerged since the primaries to alter the race's trajectory. Late shifts could arise from national political realignments or candidate-specific events, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the state's electoral baseline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$11,006Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton seeks a third term against Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas's Class II Senate seat. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Cotton's primary victory securing 81.6% of the GOP vote in March, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Shoffner advanced from her party's primary but faces structural challenges in a state where Democrats have not won a Senate race in decades. No significant developments have emerged since the primaries to alter the race's trajectory. Late shifts could arise from national political realignments or candidate-specific events, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the state's electoral baseline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$11,006Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton seeks a third term against Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas's Class II Senate seat. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Cotton's primary victory securing 81.6% of the GOP vote in March, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Shoffner advanced from her party's primary but faces structural challenges in a state where Democrats have not won a Senate race in decades. No significant developments have emerged since the primaries to alter the race's trajectory. Late shifts could arise from national political realignments or candidate-specific events, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the state's electoral baseline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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