Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal elections underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race at 94 percent implied probability. All major forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates and Donald Trump's 45-point win there in 2024. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek a second term, opening a Republican primary featuring U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman and others, while the Democratic side features limited recruitment with James Byrd as the main declared contender. With primaries scheduled for August and the general election in November, few developments have altered the baseline outlook. A major Republican scandal or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,800 交易量
94%
民主党
$2,489 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal elections underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race at 94 percent implied probability. All major forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates and Donald Trump's 45-point win there in 2024. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek a second term, opening a Republican primary featuring U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman and others, while the Democratic side features limited recruitment with James Byrd as the main declared contender. With primaries scheduled for August and the general election in November, few developments have altered the baseline outlook. A major Republican scandal or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$9,289结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal elections underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race at 94 percent implied probability. All major forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates and Donald Trump's 45-point win there in 2024. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek a second term, opening a Republican primary featuring U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman and others, while the Democratic side features limited recruitment with James Byrd as the main declared contender. With primaries scheduled for August and the general election in November, few developments have altered the baseline outlook. A major Republican scandal or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$9,289结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal elections underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race at 94 percent implied probability. All major forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates and Donald Trump's 45-point win there in 2024. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek a second term, opening a Republican primary featuring U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman and others, while the Democratic side features limited recruitment with James Byrd as the main declared contender. With primaries scheduled for August and the general election in November, few developments have altered the baseline outlook. A major Republican scandal or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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