Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz closure and U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress remain the dominant driver of WTI crude pricing near end-June 2026. Limited shipping has triggered over 11 million b/d in Middle East production shut-ins, driving sharp global inventory draws of 6.3 million b/d in Q2 per EIA data, which supports elevated spot levels despite recent selloffs. July WTI futures settled around $84.88 on June 12 after declining more than 3% amid ceasefire hopes, down from peaks above $100. OPEC+ modest output adjustments of 188,000 b/d effective June add limited supply relief. Traders will monitor weekly EIA inventory releases, negotiation updates, and any FOMC signals on inflation pass-through for shifts in near-term price thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCrude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
$137,584 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
$90
41%
$85
53%
$80
74%
$75
85%
$70
93%
$65
94%
$63
95%
$60
97%
$56
97%
$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
$137,584 ปริมาณ
$90
$27,187 ปริมาณ
41%
$85
$7,793 ปริมาณ
53%
$80
$6,658 ปริมาณ
74%
$75
$17,150 ปริมาณ
85%
$70
$20,410 ปริมาณ
93%
$65
$935 ปริมาณ
94%
$63
$9,181 ปริมาณ
95%
$60
$23,946 ปริมาณ
97%
$56
$5,089 ปริมาณ
97%
$55
$3,741 ปริมาณ
98%
$52
$6,389 ปริมาณ
99%
$50
$9,104 ปริมาณ
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz closure and U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress remain the dominant driver of WTI crude pricing near end-June 2026. Limited shipping has triggered over 11 million b/d in Middle East production shut-ins, driving sharp global inventory draws of 6.3 million b/d in Q2 per EIA data, which supports elevated spot levels despite recent selloffs. July WTI futures settled around $84.88 on June 12 after declining more than 3% amid ceasefire hopes, down from peaks above $100. OPEC+ modest output adjustments of 188,000 b/d effective June add limited supply relief. Traders will monitor weekly EIA inventory releases, negotiation updates, and any FOMC signals on inflation pass-through for shifts in near-term price thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$137,584วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz closure and U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress remain the dominant driver of WTI crude pricing near end-June 2026. Limited shipping has triggered over 11 million b/d in Middle East production shut-ins, driving sharp global inventory draws of 6.3 million b/d in Q2 per EIA data, which supports elevated spot levels despite recent selloffs. July WTI futures settled around $84.88 on June 12 after declining more than 3% amid ceasefire hopes, down from peaks above $100. OPEC+ modest output adjustments of 188,000 b/d effective June add limited supply relief. Traders will monitor weekly EIA inventory releases, negotiation updates, and any FOMC signals on inflation pass-through for shifts in near-term price thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$137,584วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz closure and U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress remain the dominant driver of WTI crude pricing near end-June 2026. Limited shipping has triggered over 11 million b/d in Middle East production shut-ins, driving sharp global inventory draws of 6.3 million b/d in Q2 per EIA data, which supports elevated spot levels despite recent selloffs. July WTI futures settled around $84.88 on June 12 after declining more than 3% amid ceasefire hopes, down from peaks above $100. OPEC+ modest output adjustments of 188,000 b/d effective June add limited supply relief. Traders will monitor weekly EIA inventory releases, negotiation updates, and any FOMC signals on inflation pass-through for shifts in near-term price thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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