**Clavicular, the 20-year-old looksmaxxing streamer and influencer known as Braden Eric Peters, reached a plea deal in his Florida Everglades alligator-shooting case that eliminated any prison risk.** On May 15, 2026, he pleaded no contest to a misdemeanor charge of unlawfully discharging a firearm and received six months of probation, 20 hours of non-streamable community service, and required safety courses—explicitly avoiding jail time. This outcome followed earlier 2026 arrests on battery and drug-related matters that did not escalate to felony convictions carrying prison exposure. Traders have priced the market at 84% for “No” because the plea resolved the highest-profile charges with no incarceration, consistent with how similar misdemeanor wildlife and battery cases for online personalities have concluded. No new indictments or court dates have surfaced since the sentencing, leaving little near-term catalyst that could shift the consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedClavicular sentenced to prison?
Clavicular sentenced to prison?
$64,946 Vol.
$64,946 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$64,946 Vol.
$64,946 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Clavicular, the 20-year-old looksmaxxing streamer and influencer known as Braden Eric Peters, reached a plea deal in his Florida Everglades alligator-shooting case that eliminated any prison risk.** On May 15, 2026, he pleaded no contest to a misdemeanor charge of unlawfully discharging a firearm and received six months of probation, 20 hours of non-streamable community service, and required safety courses—explicitly avoiding jail time. This outcome followed earlier 2026 arrests on battery and drug-related matters that did not escalate to felony convictions carrying prison exposure. Traders have priced the market at 84% for “No” because the plea resolved the highest-profile charges with no incarceration, consistent with how similar misdemeanor wildlife and battery cases for online personalities have concluded. No new indictments or court dates have surfaced since the sentencing, leaving little near-term catalyst that could shift the consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$64,946End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Clavicular, the 20-year-old looksmaxxing streamer and influencer known as Braden Eric Peters, reached a plea deal in his Florida Everglades alligator-shooting case that eliminated any prison risk.** On May 15, 2026, he pleaded no contest to a misdemeanor charge of unlawfully discharging a firearm and received six months of probation, 20 hours of non-streamable community service, and required safety courses—explicitly avoiding jail time. This outcome followed earlier 2026 arrests on battery and drug-related matters that did not escalate to felony convictions carrying prison exposure. Traders have priced the market at 84% for “No” because the plea resolved the highest-profile charges with no incarceration, consistent with how similar misdemeanor wildlife and battery cases for online personalities have concluded. No new indictments or court dates have surfaced since the sentencing, leaving little near-term catalyst that could shift the consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,946End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Clavicular, the 20-year-old looksmaxxing streamer and influencer known as Braden Eric Peters, reached a plea deal in his Florida Everglades alligator-shooting case that eliminated any prison risk.** On May 15, 2026, he pleaded no contest to a misdemeanor charge of unlawfully discharging a firearm and received six months of probation, 20 hours of non-streamable community service, and required safety courses—explicitly avoiding jail time. This outcome followed earlier 2026 arrests on battery and drug-related matters that did not escalate to felony convictions carrying prison exposure. Traders have priced the market at 84% for “No” because the plea resolved the highest-profile charges with no incarceration, consistent with how similar misdemeanor wildlife and battery cases for online personalities have concluded. No new indictments or court dates have surfaced since the sentencing, leaving little near-term catalyst that could shift the consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions