Traders see the tightest odds clustered around 88–93°F for Atlanta’s July 12 high because long-range models show modest uncertainty in peak heating. Atlanta’s mid-July climatology centers on 89°F under typical southerly flow and high humidity, but recent model runs differ on afternoon cloud cover and weak frontal moisture that could trim insolation by 1–3°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means currently favor upper 80s to low 90s at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, with the exact maximum hinging on the timing of any scattered convection and boundary-layer mixing. Historical analogs from similar warm, moist patterns confirm that small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can easily move the daily high across the 88–93°F brackets that dominate market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on July 12?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 12?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$44,601 Vol.
$44,601 Vol.
Jul 12, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$44,601 Vol.
$44,601 Vol.
Jul 12, 2026
79°F or below
$487 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,814 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$2,808 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$3,831 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$8,996 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$4,436 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$6,052 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$5,279 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$7,191 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$2,828 Vol.
No
98°F or higher
$880 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tightest odds clustered around 88–93°F for Atlanta’s July 12 high because long-range models show modest uncertainty in peak heating. Atlanta’s mid-July climatology centers on 89°F under typical southerly flow and high humidity, but recent model runs differ on afternoon cloud cover and weak frontal moisture that could trim insolation by 1–3°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means currently favor upper 80s to low 90s at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, with the exact maximum hinging on the timing of any scattered convection and boundary-layer mixing. Historical analogs from similar warm, moist patterns confirm that small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can easily move the daily high across the 88–93°F brackets that dominate market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$44,601End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tightest odds clustered around 88–93°F for Atlanta’s July 12 high because long-range models show modest uncertainty in peak heating. Atlanta’s mid-July climatology centers on 89°F under typical southerly flow and high humidity, but recent model runs differ on afternoon cloud cover and weak frontal moisture that could trim insolation by 1–3°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means currently favor upper 80s to low 90s at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, with the exact maximum hinging on the timing of any scattered convection and boundary-layer mixing. Historical analogs from similar warm, moist patterns confirm that small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can easily move the daily high across the 88–93°F brackets that dominate market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,601End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders see the tightest odds clustered around 88–93°F for Atlanta’s July 12 high because long-range models show modest uncertainty in peak heating. Atlanta’s mid-July climatology centers on 89°F under typical southerly flow and high humidity, but recent model runs differ on afternoon cloud cover and weak frontal moisture that could trim insolation by 1–3°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means currently favor upper 80s to low 90s at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, with the exact maximum hinging on the timing of any scattered convection and boundary-layer mixing. Historical analogs from similar warm, moist patterns confirm that small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can easily move the daily high across the 88–93°F brackets that dominate market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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