Official observations from the National Weather Service's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at Dallas Love Field confirm the highest temperature reached 62°F on April 21, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for the 62-63°F bin and driving market resolution. This unusually cool reading—well below the April climatological average of 78°F—stemmed from a cold front's passage late on April 20, ushering in a stable, cool air mass under persistent overcast skies that suppressed daytime heating, as evidenced by METAR reports showing sustained low-level clouds and southeast winds. Minimal sunshine and lack of solar insolation prevented temperatures from climbing higher, consistent with forecast model consensus from NOAA. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require a rare post hoc data revision by NWS, such as sensor recalibration, though official records are highly reliable and finalizes market outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 21?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 21?
62-63°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$85,140 Vol.
$85,140 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$85,140 Vol.
$85,140 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
45°F or below
$3,184 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$2,787 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$3,372 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$3,686 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$5,138 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$4,543 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$6,296 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$7,169 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$10,493 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$18,885 Vol.
Yes
64°F or higher
$19,587 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at Dallas Love Field confirm the highest temperature reached 62°F on April 21, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for the 62-63°F bin and driving market resolution. This unusually cool reading—well below the April climatological average of 78°F—stemmed from a cold front's passage late on April 20, ushering in a stable, cool air mass under persistent overcast skies that suppressed daytime heating, as evidenced by METAR reports showing sustained low-level clouds and southeast winds. Minimal sunshine and lack of solar insolation prevented temperatures from climbing higher, consistent with forecast model consensus from NOAA. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require a rare post hoc data revision by NWS, such as sensor recalibration, though official records are highly reliable and finalizes market outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 19, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volume
$85,140End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 19, 2026, 12:24 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at Dallas Love Field confirm the highest temperature reached 62°F on April 21, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for the 62-63°F bin and driving market resolution. This unusually cool reading—well below the April climatological average of 78°F—stemmed from a cold front's passage late on April 20, ushering in a stable, cool air mass under persistent overcast skies that suppressed daytime heating, as evidenced by METAR reports showing sustained low-level clouds and southeast winds. Minimal sunshine and lack of solar insolation prevented temperatures from climbing higher, consistent with forecast model consensus from NOAA. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require a rare post hoc data revision by NWS, such as sensor recalibration, though official records are highly reliable and finalizes market outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$85,140End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 19, 2026, 12:24 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at Dallas Love Field confirm the highest temperature reached 62°F on April 21, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for the 62-63°F bin and driving market resolution. This unusually cool reading—well below the April climatological average of 78°F—stemmed from a cold front's passage late on April 20, ushering in a stable, cool air mass under persistent overcast skies that suppressed daytime heating, as evidenced by METAR reports showing sustained low-level clouds and southeast winds. Minimal sunshine and lack of solar insolation prevented temperatures from climbing higher, consistent with forecast model consensus from NOAA. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require a rare post hoc data revision by NWS, such as sensor recalibration, though official records are highly reliable and finalizes market outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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