Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Dallas high near 93–96 °F on June 21, keeping the 92–95 °F bins tightly matched at roughly 50 % combined implied probability. A building subtropical ridge is expected to promote mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, limiting mixing while advecting warm, moderately moist air from the Gulf; this setup favors modest afternoon heating without the extreme boundary-layer mixing that would push readings into the upper 90s. Ensemble consensus from NOAA’s short-range models shows little spread around this range, consistent with June climatology at DFW (mean daily maximum near 95 °F). Final resolution will hinge on the official NWS maximum at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, with any late-day cloud cover or wind shift the main variables that could trim or add a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on June 21?
Highest temperature in Dallas on June 21?
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$64,402 Vol.
$64,402 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$64,402 Vol.
$64,402 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
83°F or below
$269 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$1,319 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$3,745 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$10,147 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$14,070 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$12,240 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$8,515 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$5,027 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$5,087 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$2,830 Vol.
No
102°F or higher
$1,154 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Dallas high near 93–96 °F on June 21, keeping the 92–95 °F bins tightly matched at roughly 50 % combined implied probability. A building subtropical ridge is expected to promote mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, limiting mixing while advecting warm, moderately moist air from the Gulf; this setup favors modest afternoon heating without the extreme boundary-layer mixing that would push readings into the upper 90s. Ensemble consensus from NOAA’s short-range models shows little spread around this range, consistent with June climatology at DFW (mean daily maximum near 95 °F). Final resolution will hinge on the official NWS maximum at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, with any late-day cloud cover or wind shift the main variables that could trim or add a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 19, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$64,402End Date
Jun 21, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Dallas high near 93–96 °F on June 21, keeping the 92–95 °F bins tightly matched at roughly 50 % combined implied probability. A building subtropical ridge is expected to promote mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, limiting mixing while advecting warm, moderately moist air from the Gulf; this setup favors modest afternoon heating without the extreme boundary-layer mixing that would push readings into the upper 90s. Ensemble consensus from NOAA’s short-range models shows little spread around this range, consistent with June climatology at DFW (mean daily maximum near 95 °F). Final resolution will hinge on the official NWS maximum at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, with any late-day cloud cover or wind shift the main variables that could trim or add a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64,402End Date
Jun 21, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Dallas high near 93–96 °F on June 21, keeping the 92–95 °F bins tightly matched at roughly 50 % combined implied probability. A building subtropical ridge is expected to promote mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, limiting mixing while advecting warm, moderately moist air from the Gulf; this setup favors modest afternoon heating without the extreme boundary-layer mixing that would push readings into the upper 90s. Ensemble consensus from NOAA’s short-range models shows little spread around this range, consistent with June climatology at DFW (mean daily maximum near 95 °F). Final resolution will hinge on the official NWS maximum at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, with any late-day cloud cover or wind shift the main variables that could trim or add a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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