Official observations from the National Weather Service station at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) in Houston, finalized via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of 88°F on April 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with partial afternoon clearing before evening rain and thunder suppressed further warming. This precise measurement aligns with trader consensus assigning 100% implied probability to the 88-89°F outcome, reflecting the skin-in-the-game aggregation of verified meteorological data over pre-event forecasts from NOAA models that anticipated highs in the upper 80s amid high humidity and light winds. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the observing station, though such corrections are infrequent for established airport sensors. Traders should monitor for any NWS updates, but resolution appears locked.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on April 30?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 30?
88-89°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$113,541 Vol.
$113,541 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$113,541 Vol.
$113,541 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
71°F or below
$2,291 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,105 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,095 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$5,871 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$5,640 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$7,049 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$9,644 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$11,378 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$22,017 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$19,012 Vol.
Yes
90°F or higher
$27,439 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service station at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) in Houston, finalized via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of 88°F on April 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with partial afternoon clearing before evening rain and thunder suppressed further warming. This precise measurement aligns with trader consensus assigning 100% implied probability to the 88-89°F outcome, reflecting the skin-in-the-game aggregation of verified meteorological data over pre-event forecasts from NOAA models that anticipated highs in the upper 80s amid high humidity and light winds. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the observing station, though such corrections are infrequent for established airport sensors. Traders should monitor for any NWS updates, but resolution appears locked.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 2:07 PM ET
Volume
$113,541End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service station at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) in Houston, finalized via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of 88°F on April 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with partial afternoon clearing before evening rain and thunder suppressed further warming. This precise measurement aligns with trader consensus assigning 100% implied probability to the 88-89°F outcome, reflecting the skin-in-the-game aggregation of verified meteorological data over pre-event forecasts from NOAA models that anticipated highs in the upper 80s amid high humidity and light winds. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the observing station, though such corrections are infrequent for established airport sensors. Traders should monitor for any NWS updates, but resolution appears locked.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$113,541End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service station at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) in Houston, finalized via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of 88°F on April 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with partial afternoon clearing before evening rain and thunder suppressed further warming. This precise measurement aligns with trader consensus assigning 100% implied probability to the 88-89°F outcome, reflecting the skin-in-the-game aggregation of verified meteorological data over pre-event forecasts from NOAA models that anticipated highs in the upper 80s amid high humidity and light winds. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the observing station, though such corrections are infrequent for established airport sensors. Traders should monitor for any NWS updates, but resolution appears locked.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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