Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 16, with closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (29.5%), 33°C (26.5%), and 25°C (24.5%), driven by divergent short-range forecast models and variable sea breeze dynamics. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) outlook anticipates rising temperatures amid above-normal rainfall potential, following Karachi's hottest day of the season on April 13 when weakened sea breezes allowed highs near 36°C. Mid-April climatology favors 33-35°C peaks moderated by afternoon onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, but cloud cover and gusty winds could suppress peaks toward 25-29°C as seen in some ensemble runs. Overnight PMD advisories and dawn observations will clarify sea breeze onset, a key factor differentiating warmer versus moderated outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on April 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 16?
29°C 32%
30°C 30%
28°C 29%
27°C 28%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
28%
28°C
29%
29°C
32%
30°C
30%
31°C
25%
32°C
26%
33°C
27%
34°C or higher
14%
29°C 32%
30°C 30%
28°C 29%
27°C 28%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
28%
28°C
29%
29°C
32%
30°C
30%
31°C
25%
32°C
26%
33°C
27%
34°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 16, with closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (29.5%), 33°C (26.5%), and 25°C (24.5%), driven by divergent short-range forecast models and variable sea breeze dynamics. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) outlook anticipates rising temperatures amid above-normal rainfall potential, following Karachi's hottest day of the season on April 13 when weakened sea breezes allowed highs near 36°C. Mid-April climatology favors 33-35°C peaks moderated by afternoon onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, but cloud cover and gusty winds could suppress peaks toward 25-29°C as seen in some ensemble runs. Overnight PMD advisories and dawn observations will clarify sea breeze onset, a key factor differentiating warmer versus moderated outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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