Official temperature observations from London-area weather stations, including those used by the UK Met Office, recorded a daily maximum of 19°C on June 2, anchoring near-certain market consensus on that exact outcome. This reflects direct instrumental measurements rather than forecasts, with no significant model discrepancies or data revisions reported in the immediate post-event period. Historical June averages in central London hover around 18–20°C, providing climatological context for why this reading aligned with trader expectations. Resolution hinges on verified station data thresholds, so only an unprecedented official correction—highly improbable given standardized protocols—could shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on June 2?
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$311,902 Vol.
$311,902 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$311,902 Vol.
$311,902 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 31, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official temperature observations from London-area weather stations, including those used by the UK Met Office, recorded a daily maximum of 19°C on June 2, anchoring near-certain market consensus on that exact outcome. This reflects direct instrumental measurements rather than forecasts, with no significant model discrepancies or data revisions reported in the immediate post-event period. Historical June averages in central London hover around 18–20°C, providing climatological context for why this reading aligned with trader expectations. Resolution hinges on verified station data thresholds, so only an unprecedented official correction—highly improbable given standardized protocols—could shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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