National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a high near 93°F as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 15, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and minimal moisture that favor strong daytime heating without significant afternoon convection. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 92-93°F bucket amid above-normal July temperatures, consistent with climatological baselines and the lack of incoming cooler air masses. Recent model runs show limited spread around this range, though localized variations in wind or cloud cover could nudge the official maximum into adjacent bins; traders appear to discount higher outliers given stable synoptic patterns through the period. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on July 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 15?
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 35.3%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 4.3%
NEW
NEW
Jul 15, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
46%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 35.3%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 4.3%
NEW
NEW
Jul 15, 2026
83°F or below
$1,035 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$844 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$509 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$298 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$235 Vol.
14%
92-93°F
$442 Vol.
46%
94-95°F
$55 Vol.
35%
96-97°F
$107 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$185 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$585 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$874 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a high near 93°F as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 15, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and minimal moisture that favor strong daytime heating without significant afternoon convection. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 92-93°F bucket amid above-normal July temperatures, consistent with climatological baselines and the lack of incoming cooler air masses. Recent model runs show limited spread around this range, though localized variations in wind or cloud cover could nudge the official maximum into adjacent bins; traders appear to discount higher outliers given stable synoptic patterns through the period. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,170End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a high near 93°F as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 15, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and minimal moisture that favor strong daytime heating without significant afternoon convection. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 92-93°F bucket amid above-normal July temperatures, consistent with climatological baselines and the lack of incoming cooler air masses. Recent model runs show limited spread around this range, though localized variations in wind or cloud cover could nudge the official maximum into adjacent bins; traders appear to discount higher outliers given stable synoptic patterns through the period. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,170End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a high near 93°F as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 15, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and minimal moisture that favor strong daytime heating without significant afternoon convection. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 92-93°F bucket amid above-normal July temperatures, consistent with climatological baselines and the lack of incoming cooler air masses. Recent model runs show limited spread around this range, though localized variations in wind or cloud cover could nudge the official maximum into adjacent bins; traders appear to discount higher outliers given stable synoptic patterns through the period. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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