Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecast models position a mid-90s high as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 14, with consensus around 95–96 °F under sunny skies, light east-southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading 94–95 °F bin at 49 % implied probability, reflecting dry, subsiding air typical of midsummer high-pressure patterns across the Front Range. Recent model runs show little spread, though afternoon heating and slight downslope effects could push readings into the upper 90s. Historical July averages near 88 °F provide context for the elevated forecast, while official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at the primary reporting station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on July 14?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 14?
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 23.5%
90-91°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 14, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
43%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
2%
102°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 23.5%
90-91°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 14, 2026
83°F or below
$45 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$22 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$18 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$164 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$41 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$70 Vol.
26%
94-95°F
$84 Vol.
43%
96-97°F
$48 Vol.
24%
98-99°F
$155 Vol.
4%
100-101°F
$46 Vol.
2%
102°F or higher
$120 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecast models position a mid-90s high as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 14, with consensus around 95–96 °F under sunny skies, light east-southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading 94–95 °F bin at 49 % implied probability, reflecting dry, subsiding air typical of midsummer high-pressure patterns across the Front Range. Recent model runs show little spread, though afternoon heating and slight downslope effects could push readings into the upper 90s. Historical July averages near 88 °F provide context for the elevated forecast, while official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$812End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecast models position a mid-90s high as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 14, with consensus around 95–96 °F under sunny skies, light east-southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading 94–95 °F bin at 49 % implied probability, reflecting dry, subsiding air typical of midsummer high-pressure patterns across the Front Range. Recent model runs show little spread, though afternoon heating and slight downslope effects could push readings into the upper 90s. Historical July averages near 88 °F provide context for the elevated forecast, while official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$812End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecast models position a mid-90s high as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 14, with consensus around 95–96 °F under sunny skies, light east-southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading 94–95 °F bin at 49 % implied probability, reflecting dry, subsiding air typical of midsummer high-pressure patterns across the Front Range. Recent model runs show little spread, though afternoon heating and slight downslope effects could push readings into the upper 90s. Historical July averages near 88 °F provide context for the elevated forecast, while official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at the primary reporting station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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