**High pressure and a building heat dome over the Rockies are driving expectations for a sunny, hot July 12 in Denver, with official NWS guidance pointing to a high near 97°F under clear skies and light winds.** This setup favors strong daytime heating at Denver’s mile-high elevation, where reduced atmospheric thickness allows greater solar warming when subsidence and dry air suppress cloud cover or convection. Recent model consensus and observed trends through early July show temperatures climbing into the mid-to-upper 90s, consistent with the market’s tight split between the 94–95°F (28.5%) and 96–97°F (29.5%) bins. The narrow spread between these leading outcomes reflects minor forecast uncertainties in peak mixing, exact wind speeds, and any late-day boundary-layer moisture that could shave a degree or two off the maximum. Historical July averages near 88–92°F underscore how this pattern deviates above normal, yet the absence of widespread convection or stronger downslope winds keeps the distribution centered in the mid-90s rather than pushing toward triple digits. Traders will watch the final NWS and model updates overnight for any shifts in the thermal ridge or dewpoint forecasts that could tip resolution one bin either way.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on July 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 12?
94-95°F 35%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 17%
98-99°F 5.7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 12, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 35%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 17%
98-99°F 5.7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 12, 2026
87°F or below
$97 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$376 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$382 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$496 Vol.
17%
94-95°F
$387 Vol.
35%
96-97°F
$204 Vol.
34%
98-99°F
$420 Vol.
6%
100-101°F
$344 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$959 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$302 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$212 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure and a building heat dome over the Rockies are driving expectations for a sunny, hot July 12 in Denver, with official NWS guidance pointing to a high near 97°F under clear skies and light winds.** This setup favors strong daytime heating at Denver’s mile-high elevation, where reduced atmospheric thickness allows greater solar warming when subsidence and dry air suppress cloud cover or convection. Recent model consensus and observed trends through early July show temperatures climbing into the mid-to-upper 90s, consistent with the market’s tight split between the 94–95°F (28.5%) and 96–97°F (29.5%) bins.
The narrow spread between these leading outcomes reflects minor forecast uncertainties in peak mixing, exact wind speeds, and any late-day boundary-layer moisture that could shave a degree or two off the maximum. Historical July averages near 88–92°F underscore how this pattern deviates above normal, yet the absence of widespread convection or stronger downslope winds keeps the distribution centered in the mid-90s rather than pushing toward triple digits. Traders will watch the final NWS and model updates overnight for any shifts in the thermal ridge or dewpoint forecasts that could tip resolution one bin either way.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,178End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure and a building heat dome over the Rockies are driving expectations for a sunny, hot July 12 in Denver, with official NWS guidance pointing to a high near 97°F under clear skies and light winds.** This setup favors strong daytime heating at Denver’s mile-high elevation, where reduced atmospheric thickness allows greater solar warming when subsidence and dry air suppress cloud cover or convection. Recent model consensus and observed trends through early July show temperatures climbing into the mid-to-upper 90s, consistent with the market’s tight split between the 94–95°F (28.5%) and 96–97°F (29.5%) bins.
The narrow spread between these leading outcomes reflects minor forecast uncertainties in peak mixing, exact wind speeds, and any late-day boundary-layer moisture that could shave a degree or two off the maximum. Historical July averages near 88–92°F underscore how this pattern deviates above normal, yet the absence of widespread convection or stronger downslope winds keeps the distribution centered in the mid-90s rather than pushing toward triple digits. Traders will watch the final NWS and model updates overnight for any shifts in the thermal ridge or dewpoint forecasts that could tip resolution one bin either way.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,178End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...**High pressure and a building heat dome over the Rockies are driving expectations for a sunny, hot July 12 in Denver, with official NWS guidance pointing to a high near 97°F under clear skies and light winds.** This setup favors strong daytime heating at Denver’s mile-high elevation, where reduced atmospheric thickness allows greater solar warming when subsidence and dry air suppress cloud cover or convection. Recent model consensus and observed trends through early July show temperatures climbing into the mid-to-upper 90s, consistent with the market’s tight split between the 94–95°F (28.5%) and 96–97°F (29.5%) bins. The narrow spread between these leading outcomes reflects minor forecast uncertainties in peak mixing, exact wind speeds, and any late-day boundary-layer moisture that could shave a degree or two off the maximum. Historical July averages near 88–92°F underscore how this pattern deviates above normal, yet the absence of widespread convection or stronger downslope winds keeps the distribution centered in the mid-90s rather than pushing toward triple digits. Traders will watch the final NWS and model updates overnight for any shifts in the thermal ridge or dewpoint forecasts that could tip resolution one bin either way.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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