Recent National Weather Service and regional model guidance for Karachi points to peak temperatures of 32–34°C on July 13 amid typical early-monsoon conditions, with moderate humidity, scattered cloud cover, and light winds limiting radiative heating. These values align closely with climatological July averages of 31–33°C and recent observations showing a slight cooling trend from early-month peaks. Forecasters note that any afternoon convective showers or increased low-level moisture could cap the daily maximum near 33°C, while clearer intervals would favor 34°C. Market-implied odds therefore concentrate around these central outcomes, reflecting the narrow range of plausible daily maxima given current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the Arabian Sea. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on July 13?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 13?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$18,542 Vol.
$18,542 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$18,542 Vol.
$18,542 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
28°C or below
$266 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,049 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,477 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,728 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,126 Vol.
100%
34°C
$3,061 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,526 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$237 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model guidance for Karachi points to peak temperatures of 32–34°C on July 13 amid typical early-monsoon conditions, with moderate humidity, scattered cloud cover, and light winds limiting radiative heating. These values align closely with climatological July averages of 31–33°C and recent observations showing a slight cooling trend from early-month peaks. Forecasters note that any afternoon convective showers or increased low-level moisture could cap the daily maximum near 33°C, while clearer intervals would favor 34°C. Market-implied odds therefore concentrate around these central outcomes, reflecting the narrow range of plausible daily maxima given current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the Arabian Sea. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$18,542End Date
Jul 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model guidance for Karachi points to peak temperatures of 32–34°C on July 13 amid typical early-monsoon conditions, with moderate humidity, scattered cloud cover, and light winds limiting radiative heating. These values align closely with climatological July averages of 31–33°C and recent observations showing a slight cooling trend from early-month peaks. Forecasters note that any afternoon convective showers or increased low-level moisture could cap the daily maximum near 33°C, while clearer intervals would favor 34°C. Market-implied odds therefore concentrate around these central outcomes, reflecting the narrow range of plausible daily maxima given current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the Arabian Sea. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,542End Date
Jul 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and regional model guidance for Karachi points to peak temperatures of 32–34°C on July 13 amid typical early-monsoon conditions, with moderate humidity, scattered cloud cover, and light winds limiting radiative heating. These values align closely with climatological July averages of 31–33°C and recent observations showing a slight cooling trend from early-month peaks. Forecasters note that any afternoon convective showers or increased low-level moisture could cap the daily maximum near 33°C, while clearer intervals would favor 34°C. Market-implied odds therefore concentrate around these central outcomes, reflecting the narrow range of plausible daily maxima given current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the Arabian Sea. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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