Recent forecasts for Jeddah on July 13 place daily maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 30s °C, aligning with the city’s July climatology of roughly 36–38 °C. Coastal sea-breeze moderation, Red Sea humidity, and subtle differences in steering winds create the tight spread across model runs, keeping 36 °C, 37 °C, and 38 °C-or-higher outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Short-range model updates and any late adjustments to wind or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2 °C, sustaining the balanced market-implied probabilities until final observations are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on July 13?
38°C or higher 36%
37°C 32%
36°C 24%
35°C 10%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
10%
36°C
24%
37°C
32%
38°C or higher
36%
38°C or higher 36%
37°C 32%
36°C 24%
35°C 10%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
10%
36°C
24%
37°C
32%
38°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Jeddah on July 13 place daily maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 30s °C, aligning with the city’s July climatology of roughly 36–38 °C. Coastal sea-breeze moderation, Red Sea humidity, and subtle differences in steering winds create the tight spread across model runs, keeping 36 °C, 37 °C, and 38 °C-or-higher outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Short-range model updates and any late adjustments to wind or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2 °C, sustaining the balanced market-implied probabilities until final observations are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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