Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and ECMWF models show Munich under a warming ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 29–31 °C on July 11. These conditions favor strong daytime heating after overnight lows in the mid-teens, though modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–31 °C because historical July analogs and recent short-range runs place the most probable range there, while the modest probability on 32 °C or higher reflects the tail risk of clearer, drier air. Updated model guidance and DWD nowcasts over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on July 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 11?
30°C 37%
29°C 33%
31°C 16%
28°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 11, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
33%
30°C
37%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
29°C 33%
31°C 16%
28°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 11, 2026
23°C or below
$21 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$50 Vol.
1%
27°C
$520 Vol.
4%
28°C
$259 Vol.
9%
29°C
$86 Vol.
33%
30°C
$537 Vol.
37%
31°C
$156 Vol.
16%
32°C
$68 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$364 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and ECMWF models show Munich under a warming ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 29–31 °C on July 11. These conditions favor strong daytime heating after overnight lows in the mid-teens, though modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–31 °C because historical July analogs and recent short-range runs place the most probable range there, while the modest probability on 32 °C or higher reflects the tail risk of clearer, drier air. Updated model guidance and DWD nowcasts over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,096End Date
Jul 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and ECMWF models show Munich under a warming ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 29–31 °C on July 11. These conditions favor strong daytime heating after overnight lows in the mid-teens, though modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–31 °C because historical July analogs and recent short-range runs place the most probable range there, while the modest probability on 32 °C or higher reflects the tail risk of clearer, drier air. Updated model guidance and DWD nowcasts over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,096End Date
Jul 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and ECMWF models show Munich under a warming ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 29–31 °C on July 11. These conditions favor strong daytime heating after overnight lows in the mid-teens, though modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–31 °C because historical July analogs and recent short-range runs place the most probable range there, while the modest probability on 32 °C or higher reflects the tail risk of clearer, drier air. Updated model guidance and DWD nowcasts over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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