Latest short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather project Busan’s July 11 daytime maximum near 30–31°C amid typical early-July monsoon transition conditions, with sea breezes off the Korea Strait providing some moderation. This consensus, combined with historical July high distributions centered around 28–31°C, underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C. Persistent warmth and variable cloud cover could push readings a degree or two higher, while increased precipitation or stronger onshore flow would cap outcomes nearer 32°C. Updated KMA model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on July 11?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 11?
33°C 38%
34°C 30%
32°C 27%
35°C 10.1%
NEW
NEW
Jul 11, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
9%
32°C
22%
33°C
38%
34°C
30%
35°C
10%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
34°C 30%
32°C 27%
35°C 10.1%
NEW
NEW
Jul 11, 2026
27°C or below
$26 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$33 Vol.
1%
30°C
$52 Vol.
7%
31°C
$3 Vol.
9%
32°C
$12 Vol.
22%
33°C
$23 Vol.
38%
34°C
$83 Vol.
30%
35°C
$1 Vol.
10%
36°C
$5 Vol.
6%
37°C or higher
$293 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather project Busan’s July 11 daytime maximum near 30–31°C amid typical early-July monsoon transition conditions, with sea breezes off the Korea Strait providing some moderation. This consensus, combined with historical July high distributions centered around 28–31°C, underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C. Persistent warmth and variable cloud cover could push readings a degree or two higher, while increased precipitation or stronger onshore flow would cap outcomes nearer 32°C. Updated KMA model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$553End Date
Jul 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather project Busan’s July 11 daytime maximum near 30–31°C amid typical early-July monsoon transition conditions, with sea breezes off the Korea Strait providing some moderation. This consensus, combined with historical July high distributions centered around 28–31°C, underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C. Persistent warmth and variable cloud cover could push readings a degree or two higher, while increased precipitation or stronger onshore flow would cap outcomes nearer 32°C. Updated KMA model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$553End Date
Jul 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather project Busan’s July 11 daytime maximum near 30–31°C amid typical early-July monsoon transition conditions, with sea breezes off the Korea Strait providing some moderation. This consensus, combined with historical July high distributions centered around 28–31°C, underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C. Persistent warmth and variable cloud cover could push readings a degree or two higher, while increased precipitation or stronger onshore flow would cap outcomes nearer 32°C. Updated KMA model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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