Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a shift to cooler, unsettled conditions over Moscow on September 5, driven by a low-pressure system and southwesterly flow advecting maritime air. Cloud cover, widespread showers, and stronger winds are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature near or slightly below the 18.5°C climatological average for the date. Trader consensus around 16–18°C reflects model agreement on these factors while acknowledging uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passage and precipitation intensity, which could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from official agencies will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 5?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 5?
18°C 46%
17°C 36%
16°C 22%
20°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
6%
14°C
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
22%
17°C
36%
18°C
32%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
6%
18°C 46%
17°C 36%
16°C 22%
20°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
6%
14°C
$0 Vol.
6%
15°C
$20 Vol.
5%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$8 Vol.
36%
18°C
$32 Vol.
32%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a shift to cooler, unsettled conditions over Moscow on September 5, driven by a low-pressure system and southwesterly flow advecting maritime air. Cloud cover, widespread showers, and stronger winds are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature near or slightly below the 18.5°C climatological average for the date. Trader consensus around 16–18°C reflects model agreement on these factors while acknowledging uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passage and precipitation intensity, which could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from official agencies will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$61End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a shift to cooler, unsettled conditions over Moscow on September 5, driven by a low-pressure system and southwesterly flow advecting maritime air. Cloud cover, widespread showers, and stronger winds are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature near or slightly below the 18.5°C climatological average for the date. Trader consensus around 16–18°C reflects model agreement on these factors while acknowledging uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passage and precipitation intensity, which could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from official agencies will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a shift to cooler, unsettled conditions over Moscow on September 5, driven by a low-pressure system and southwesterly flow advecting maritime air. Cloud cover, widespread showers, and stronger winds are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature near or slightly below the 18.5°C climatological average for the date. Trader consensus around 16–18°C reflects model agreement on these factors while acknowledging uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passage and precipitation intensity, which could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from official agencies will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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