Ensemble forecasts from major centers place Munich’s July 10 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 27.5 % / 26.5 % market split between those two outcomes. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe is promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while light northeasterly flow limits marine cooling; model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position. Historical early-July maxima cluster around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any late-day satellite trends on July 9 will provide the final resolution inputs before the market settles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on July 10?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 10?
30°C 26%
29°C 24%
28°C 22%
27°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Jul 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
16%
28°C
22%
29°C
24%
30°C
26%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 26%
29°C 24%
28°C 22%
27°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Jul 10, 2026
24°C or below
$59 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$85 Vol.
1%
26°C
$86 Vol.
1%
27°C
$191 Vol.
16%
28°C
$416 Vol.
22%
29°C
$4,146 Vol.
24%
30°C
$312 Vol.
26%
31°C
$621 Vol.
8%
32°C
$316 Vol.
1%
33°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$48 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major centers place Munich’s July 10 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 27.5 % / 26.5 % market split between those two outcomes. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe is promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while light northeasterly flow limits marine cooling; model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position. Historical early-July maxima cluster around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any late-day satellite trends on July 9 will provide the final resolution inputs before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$6,370End Date
Jul 10, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major centers place Munich’s July 10 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 27.5 % / 26.5 % market split between those two outcomes. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe is promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while light northeasterly flow limits marine cooling; model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position. Historical early-July maxima cluster around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any late-day satellite trends on July 9 will provide the final resolution inputs before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,370End Date
Jul 10, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from major centers place Munich’s July 10 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 27.5 % / 26.5 % market split between those two outcomes. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe is promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while light northeasterly flow limits marine cooling; model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position. Historical early-July maxima cluster around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any late-day satellite trends on July 9 will provide the final resolution inputs before the market settles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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