Recent forecast models from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate Karachi highs near 33–34°C for July 10 amid the advancing southwest monsoon, driving the near-even split between those two outcomes. Elevated humidity from Arabian Sea moisture and variable cloud cover or scattered showers can suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation, while stronger sea breezes or clearer intervals may allow brief peaks to 34°C. These subtle differences in timing and intensity of convective activity create genuine uncertainty in the exact maximum at the official station, consistent with typical July variability where climatological averages hover around 32–33°C. Updated model runs and satellite monitoring of monsoon progression remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on July 10?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 10?
34°C 45%
33°C 42%
35°C 8%
32°C 6%
NEW
$20,101 Vol.
NEW
$20,101 Vol.
Jul 10, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
42%
34°C
45%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
33°C 42%
35°C 8%
32°C 6%
NEW
$20,101 Vol.
NEW
$20,101 Vol.
Jul 10, 2026
28°C or below
$1,734 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,040 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,297 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,191 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,450 Vol.
6%
33°C
$5,374 Vol.
42%
34°C
$1,983 Vol.
45%
35°C
$2,249 Vol.
8%
36°C
$529 Vol.
1%
37°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$871 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate Karachi highs near 33–34°C for July 10 amid the advancing southwest monsoon, driving the near-even split between those two outcomes. Elevated humidity from Arabian Sea moisture and variable cloud cover or scattered showers can suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation, while stronger sea breezes or clearer intervals may allow brief peaks to 34°C. These subtle differences in timing and intensity of convective activity create genuine uncertainty in the exact maximum at the official station, consistent with typical July variability where climatological averages hover around 32–33°C. Updated model runs and satellite monitoring of monsoon progression remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$20,101End Date
Jul 10, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate Karachi highs near 33–34°C for July 10 amid the advancing southwest monsoon, driving the near-even split between those two outcomes. Elevated humidity from Arabian Sea moisture and variable cloud cover or scattered showers can suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation, while stronger sea breezes or clearer intervals may allow brief peaks to 34°C. These subtle differences in timing and intensity of convective activity create genuine uncertainty in the exact maximum at the official station, consistent with typical July variability where climatological averages hover around 32–33°C. Updated model runs and satellite monitoring of monsoon progression remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,101End Date
Jul 10, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate Karachi highs near 33–34°C for July 10 amid the advancing southwest monsoon, driving the near-even split between those two outcomes. Elevated humidity from Arabian Sea moisture and variable cloud cover or scattered showers can suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation, while stronger sea breezes or clearer intervals may allow brief peaks to 34°C. These subtle differences in timing and intensity of convective activity create genuine uncertainty in the exact maximum at the official station, consistent with typical July variability where climatological averages hover around 32–33°C. Updated model runs and satellite monitoring of monsoon progression remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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