Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models project a July 11 high near 32–33°C for Karachi, establishing the market’s tight clustering between the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and elevated humidity from the advancing southwest monsoon are capping daytime heating, while partial cloud cover and light winds introduce modest day-to-day variability. Historical July averages hover around 31–32°C, yet brief clearing or delayed showers could push readings a degree higher. Traders weigh the narrow spread against model uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength, with new guidance expected within 48 hours that may further tighten or widen the implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on July 11?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 11?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$27,024 Vol.
$27,024 Vol.
Jul 11, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$27,024 Vol.
$27,024 Vol.
Jul 11, 2026
25°C or below
$1,130 Vol.
No
26°C
$801 Vol.
No
27°C
$335 Vol.
No
28°C
$873 Vol.
No
29°C
$887 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,391 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,250 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,732 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,316 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,488 Vol.
Yes
35°C or higher
$2,821 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models project a July 11 high near 32–33°C for Karachi, establishing the market’s tight clustering between the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and elevated humidity from the advancing southwest monsoon are capping daytime heating, while partial cloud cover and light winds introduce modest day-to-day variability. Historical July averages hover around 31–32°C, yet brief clearing or delayed showers could push readings a degree higher. Traders weigh the narrow spread against model uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength, with new guidance expected within 48 hours that may further tighten or widen the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$27,024End Date
Jul 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models project a July 11 high near 32–33°C for Karachi, establishing the market’s tight clustering between the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and elevated humidity from the advancing southwest monsoon are capping daytime heating, while partial cloud cover and light winds introduce modest day-to-day variability. Historical July averages hover around 31–32°C, yet brief clearing or delayed showers could push readings a degree higher. Traders weigh the narrow spread against model uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength, with new guidance expected within 48 hours that may further tighten or widen the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,024End Date
Jul 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models project a July 11 high near 32–33°C for Karachi, establishing the market’s tight clustering between the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and elevated humidity from the advancing southwest monsoon are capping daytime heating, while partial cloud cover and light winds introduce modest day-to-day variability. Historical July averages hover around 31–32°C, yet brief clearing or delayed showers could push readings a degree higher. Traders weigh the narrow spread against model uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength, with new guidance expected within 48 hours that may further tighten or widen the implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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