Traders see 32–33°C as the most probable maximum for Karachi on July 14 because monsoon-season conditions—cloud cover, scattered showers, and persistent sea breezes from the Arabian Sea—typically cap daytime heating near the long-term July average of 33°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and model runs indicate intermittent drizzle and high humidity that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping peaks from exceeding 34°C. Differentiation between 32°C and 33°C hinges on the timing and intensity of any convective cells: stronger sea-breeze convergence or thicker stratus could shave 1°C, while clearer breaks would allow brief warming toward 34°C. Official forecasts remain the key upcoming input ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on July 14?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 14?
33°C 45%
32°C 25%
34°C 23%
31°C 3.5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 14, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
25%
33°C
45%
34°C
23%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 25%
34°C 23%
31°C 3.5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 14, 2026
27°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$292 Vol.
1%
31°C
$276 Vol.
3%
32°C
$369 Vol.
25%
33°C
$205 Vol.
45%
34°C
$313 Vol.
23%
35°C
$112 Vol.
3%
36°C
$250 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 32–33°C as the most probable maximum for Karachi on July 14 because monsoon-season conditions—cloud cover, scattered showers, and persistent sea breezes from the Arabian Sea—typically cap daytime heating near the long-term July average of 33°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and model runs indicate intermittent drizzle and high humidity that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping peaks from exceeding 34°C. Differentiation between 32°C and 33°C hinges on the timing and intensity of any convective cells: stronger sea-breeze convergence or thicker stratus could shave 1°C, while clearer breaks would allow brief warming toward 34°C. Official forecasts remain the key upcoming input ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,488End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 32–33°C as the most probable maximum for Karachi on July 14 because monsoon-season conditions—cloud cover, scattered showers, and persistent sea breezes from the Arabian Sea—typically cap daytime heating near the long-term July average of 33°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and model runs indicate intermittent drizzle and high humidity that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping peaks from exceeding 34°C. Differentiation between 32°C and 33°C hinges on the timing and intensity of any convective cells: stronger sea-breeze convergence or thicker stratus could shave 1°C, while clearer breaks would allow brief warming toward 34°C. Official forecasts remain the key upcoming input ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,488End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 32–33°C as the most probable maximum for Karachi on July 14 because monsoon-season conditions—cloud cover, scattered showers, and persistent sea breezes from the Arabian Sea—typically cap daytime heating near the long-term July average of 33°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and model runs indicate intermittent drizzle and high humidity that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping peaks from exceeding 34°C. Differentiation between 32°C and 33°C hinges on the timing and intensity of any convective cells: stronger sea-breeze convergence or thicker stratus could shave 1°C, while clearer breaks would allow brief warming toward 34°C. Official forecasts remain the key upcoming input ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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