Recent forecasts from models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and regional sources indicate Beijing's July 12 maximum will likely fall near 30–32°C, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating. Official outlooks show highs around 30.6–32°C on that date amid 60–80% precipitation chances, which cap daytime peaks by reducing insolation compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, with slight edges to 30°C reflecting ensemble consensus on modest warming from current 32°C readings offset by rain-cooled air masses. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs through July 11–12 emphasize uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on July 12?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 12?
30°C 24%
29°C 23%
31°C 21%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 12, 2026
27°C or below
6%
28°C
7%
29°C
23%
30°C
24%
31°C
21%
32°C
13%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 24%
29°C 23%
31°C 21%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 12, 2026
27°C or below
$347 Vol.
6%
28°C
$124 Vol.
7%
29°C
$68 Vol.
23%
30°C
$312 Vol.
24%
31°C
$30 Vol.
21%
32°C
$603 Vol.
13%
33°C
$141 Vol.
3%
34°C
$201 Vol.
1%
35°C
$353 Vol.
1%
36°C
$441 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$405 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and regional sources indicate Beijing's July 12 maximum will likely fall near 30–32°C, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating. Official outlooks show highs around 30.6–32°C on that date amid 60–80% precipitation chances, which cap daytime peaks by reducing insolation compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, with slight edges to 30°C reflecting ensemble consensus on modest warming from current 32°C readings offset by rain-cooled air masses. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs through July 11–12 emphasize uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,996End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and regional sources indicate Beijing's July 12 maximum will likely fall near 30–32°C, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating. Official outlooks show highs around 30.6–32°C on that date amid 60–80% precipitation chances, which cap daytime peaks by reducing insolation compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, with slight edges to 30°C reflecting ensemble consensus on modest warming from current 32°C readings offset by rain-cooled air masses. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs through July 11–12 emphasize uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,996End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and regional sources indicate Beijing's July 12 maximum will likely fall near 30–32°C, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating. Official outlooks show highs around 30.6–32°C on that date amid 60–80% precipitation chances, which cap daytime peaks by reducing insolation compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, with slight edges to 30°C reflecting ensemble consensus on modest warming from current 32°C readings offset by rain-cooled air masses. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs through July 11–12 emphasize uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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