**Trader sentiment for Busan’s July 12 high centers on the stalled changma monsoon front and variable cloud cover over the Korea Strait, which currently favor a 32–33°C peak.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows heat advisories active across the region amid subtropical high influence, while extended models project daytime maxima near 29–31°C with 70–85% rain probability that could suppress heating through reduced insolation. Sea-breeze advection from cooler waters often caps coastal readings 1–2°C below inland values, yet brief clearing windows allow greater surface heating and push readings toward the upper 30s. The tight 32°C (35.5%) versus 33°C (30.5%) split reflects model spread on frontal timing and precipitation intensity; stronger or earlier rainfall favors 31°C or below, while drier conditions support the higher brackets. Historical July variability in Busan (interquartile range ~27–31°C) underscores how small shifts in humidity and wind patterns can decide the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on July 12?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 12?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$35,676 Vol.
$35,676 Vol.
Jul 12, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$35,676 Vol.
$35,676 Vol.
Jul 12, 2026
26°C or below
$285 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$476 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,134 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$7,268 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,391 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5,206 Vol.
100%
34°C
$4,212 Vol.
1%
35°C
$4,607 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$4,666 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Busan’s July 12 high centers on the stalled changma monsoon front and variable cloud cover over the Korea Strait, which currently favor a 32–33°C peak.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows heat advisories active across the region amid subtropical high influence, while extended models project daytime maxima near 29–31°C with 70–85% rain probability that could suppress heating through reduced insolation. Sea-breeze advection from cooler waters often caps coastal readings 1–2°C below inland values, yet brief clearing windows allow greater surface heating and push readings toward the upper 30s. The tight 32°C (35.5%) versus 33°C (30.5%) split reflects model spread on frontal timing and precipitation intensity; stronger or earlier rainfall favors 31°C or below, while drier conditions support the higher brackets. Historical July variability in Busan (interquartile range ~27–31°C) underscores how small shifts in humidity and wind patterns can decide the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$35,676End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Busan’s July 12 high centers on the stalled changma monsoon front and variable cloud cover over the Korea Strait, which currently favor a 32–33°C peak.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows heat advisories active across the region amid subtropical high influence, while extended models project daytime maxima near 29–31°C with 70–85% rain probability that could suppress heating through reduced insolation. Sea-breeze advection from cooler waters often caps coastal readings 1–2°C below inland values, yet brief clearing windows allow greater surface heating and push readings toward the upper 30s. The tight 32°C (35.5%) versus 33°C (30.5%) split reflects model spread on frontal timing and precipitation intensity; stronger or earlier rainfall favors 31°C or below, while drier conditions support the higher brackets. Historical July variability in Busan (interquartile range ~27–31°C) underscores how small shifts in humidity and wind patterns can decide the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,676End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Busan’s July 12 high centers on the stalled changma monsoon front and variable cloud cover over the Korea Strait, which currently favor a 32–33°C peak.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows heat advisories active across the region amid subtropical high influence, while extended models project daytime maxima near 29–31°C with 70–85% rain probability that could suppress heating through reduced insolation. Sea-breeze advection from cooler waters often caps coastal readings 1–2°C below inland values, yet brief clearing windows allow greater surface heating and push readings toward the upper 30s. The tight 32°C (35.5%) versus 33°C (30.5%) split reflects model spread on frontal timing and precipitation intensity; stronger or earlier rainfall favors 31°C or below, while drier conditions support the higher brackets. Historical July variability in Busan (interquartile range ~27–31°C) underscores how small shifts in humidity and wind patterns can decide the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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