Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Busan's July 14 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes near 30–31°C amid typical mid-July monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include variable East Sea sea surface temperatures affecting marine air advection, afternoon convective cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, and steering patterns from the North Pacific high that may allow clearer skies for brief warming. Historical July averages around 29–30°C provide context, yet rapid shifts in humidity or localized sea breezes keep probabilities closely split between adjacent thresholds. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against these atmospheric variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on July 14?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 14?
31°C 34%
30°C 28%
32°C 27%
29°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
27%
31°C
34%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
30°C 28%
32°C 27%
29°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 14, 2026
26°C or below
$13 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$9 Vol.
27%
31°C
$13 Vol.
34%
32°C
$88 Vol.
22%
33°C
$5 Vol.
4%
34°C
$22 Vol.
3%
35°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$131 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Busan's July 14 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes near 30–31°C amid typical mid-July monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include variable East Sea sea surface temperatures affecting marine air advection, afternoon convective cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, and steering patterns from the North Pacific high that may allow clearer skies for brief warming. Historical July averages around 29–30°C provide context, yet rapid shifts in humidity or localized sea breezes keep probabilities closely split between adjacent thresholds. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against these atmospheric variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$479End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Busan's July 14 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes near 30–31°C amid typical mid-July monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include variable East Sea sea surface temperatures affecting marine air advection, afternoon convective cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, and steering patterns from the North Pacific high that may allow clearer skies for brief warming. Historical July averages around 29–30°C provide context, yet rapid shifts in humidity or localized sea breezes keep probabilities closely split between adjacent thresholds. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against these atmospheric variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$479End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Busan's July 14 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes near 30–31°C amid typical mid-July monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include variable East Sea sea surface temperatures affecting marine air advection, afternoon convective cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, and steering patterns from the North Pacific high that may allow clearer skies for brief warming. Historical July averages around 29–30°C provide context, yet rapid shifts in humidity or localized sea breezes keep probabilities closely split between adjacent thresholds. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against these atmospheric variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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