Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Helsinki highs of 22–25°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability around 24–26°C. Mild Baltic Sea surface temperatures and variable northerly flow have kept recent conditions near or slightly below the long-term July average of 21–22°C, with traders pricing in modest warming from transient southerly advection or reduced cloud cover. Key variables include steering patterns from high-pressure ridges over Scandinavia, afternoon mixing, and any late adjustments in ECMWF or local Finnish Meteorological Institute runs expected before resolution. Historical data show July maxima rarely exceed 26°C without strong anticyclonic setup, supporting the thin tails above 27°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on July 14?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 14?
25°C 47%
24°C 22%
26°C 16%
23°C 6.5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
22%
25°C
47%
26°C
16%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
24°C 22%
26°C 16%
23°C 6.5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 14, 2026
20°C or below
$33 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$91 Vol.
1%
22°C
$381 Vol.
3%
23°C
$54 Vol.
7%
24°C
$99 Vol.
22%
25°C
$119 Vol.
47%
26°C
$1,269 Vol.
16%
27°C
$135 Vol.
4%
28°C
$45 Vol.
3%
29°C
$11 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Helsinki highs of 22–25°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability around 24–26°C. Mild Baltic Sea surface temperatures and variable northerly flow have kept recent conditions near or slightly below the long-term July average of 21–22°C, with traders pricing in modest warming from transient southerly advection or reduced cloud cover. Key variables include steering patterns from high-pressure ridges over Scandinavia, afternoon mixing, and any late adjustments in ECMWF or local Finnish Meteorological Institute runs expected before resolution. Historical data show July maxima rarely exceed 26°C without strong anticyclonic setup, supporting the thin tails above 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,576End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Helsinki highs of 22–25°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability around 24–26°C. Mild Baltic Sea surface temperatures and variable northerly flow have kept recent conditions near or slightly below the long-term July average of 21–22°C, with traders pricing in modest warming from transient southerly advection or reduced cloud cover. Key variables include steering patterns from high-pressure ridges over Scandinavia, afternoon mixing, and any late adjustments in ECMWF or local Finnish Meteorological Institute runs expected before resolution. Historical data show July maxima rarely exceed 26°C without strong anticyclonic setup, supporting the thin tails above 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,576End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Helsinki highs of 22–25°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability around 24–26°C. Mild Baltic Sea surface temperatures and variable northerly flow have kept recent conditions near or slightly below the long-term July average of 21–22°C, with traders pricing in modest warming from transient southerly advection or reduced cloud cover. Key variables include steering patterns from high-pressure ridges over Scandinavia, afternoon mixing, and any late adjustments in ECMWF or local Finnish Meteorological Institute runs expected before resolution. Historical data show July maxima rarely exceed 26°C without strong anticyclonic setup, supporting the thin tails above 27°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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