Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to Qingdao highs near 26–28°C on July 8 amid light rain and high humidity, yet trader odds cluster tightly around 30–34°C because of lingering uncertainty in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and potential breaks allowing greater solar heating. Coastal sea breezes and East Asian monsoon flow typically moderate extremes, but shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could push readings higher, while persistent overcast conditions would cap them lower. Historical July averages hover near 28°C, and the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine short-range forecast divergence typical 48 hours out, with resolution hinging on official station maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 8?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 8?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$53,417 Vol.
$53,417 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$53,417 Vol.
$53,417 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
24°C or below
$3,012 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,887 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,789 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,141 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,957 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,752 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,361 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,928 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,036 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$4,800 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$2,755 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to Qingdao highs near 26–28°C on July 8 amid light rain and high humidity, yet trader odds cluster tightly around 30–34°C because of lingering uncertainty in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and potential breaks allowing greater solar heating. Coastal sea breezes and East Asian monsoon flow typically moderate extremes, but shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could push readings higher, while persistent overcast conditions would cap them lower. Historical July averages hover near 28°C, and the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine short-range forecast divergence typical 48 hours out, with resolution hinging on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$53,417End Date
Jul 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to Qingdao highs near 26–28°C on July 8 amid light rain and high humidity, yet trader odds cluster tightly around 30–34°C because of lingering uncertainty in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and potential breaks allowing greater solar heating. Coastal sea breezes and East Asian monsoon flow typically moderate extremes, but shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could push readings higher, while persistent overcast conditions would cap them lower. Historical July averages hover near 28°C, and the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine short-range forecast divergence typical 48 hours out, with resolution hinging on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53,417End Date
Jul 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to Qingdao highs near 26–28°C on July 8 amid light rain and high humidity, yet trader odds cluster tightly around 30–34°C because of lingering uncertainty in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and potential breaks allowing greater solar heating. Coastal sea breezes and East Asian monsoon flow typically moderate extremes, but shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could push readings higher, while persistent overcast conditions would cap them lower. Historical July averages hover near 28°C, and the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine short-range forecast divergence typical 48 hours out, with resolution hinging on official station maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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