Traders are clustering around 25–28°C for Seoul’s July 8 high because the East Asian monsoon remains active, with official Korea Meteorological Administration and model guidance indicating widespread cloud cover and heavy rain that limits daytime heating. Typical July climatology features 28–30°C peaks, yet current forecasts emphasize precipitation-driven moderation, keeping maximum temperatures near the lower end of the seasonal range. Humidity and frontal boundaries add uncertainty, allowing modest warming if breaks in cloud occur, which supports the near-even distribution across 26–28°C outcomes while capping odds for 30°C or higher. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on July 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 8?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$341,619 Vol.
$341,619 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$341,619 Vol.
$341,619 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
20°C or below
$5,942 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,703 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,093 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,573 Vol.
No
24°C
$17,362 Vol.
No
25°C
$22,614 Vol.
No
26°C
$90,010 Vol.
No
27°C
$97,325 Vol.
No
28°C
$39,483 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$21,902 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$30,612 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are clustering around 25–28°C for Seoul’s July 8 high because the East Asian monsoon remains active, with official Korea Meteorological Administration and model guidance indicating widespread cloud cover and heavy rain that limits daytime heating. Typical July climatology features 28–30°C peaks, yet current forecasts emphasize precipitation-driven moderation, keeping maximum temperatures near the lower end of the seasonal range. Humidity and frontal boundaries add uncertainty, allowing modest warming if breaks in cloud occur, which supports the near-even distribution across 26–28°C outcomes while capping odds for 30°C or higher. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$341,619End Date
Jul 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are clustering around 25–28°C for Seoul’s July 8 high because the East Asian monsoon remains active, with official Korea Meteorological Administration and model guidance indicating widespread cloud cover and heavy rain that limits daytime heating. Typical July climatology features 28–30°C peaks, yet current forecasts emphasize precipitation-driven moderation, keeping maximum temperatures near the lower end of the seasonal range. Humidity and frontal boundaries add uncertainty, allowing modest warming if breaks in cloud occur, which supports the near-even distribution across 26–28°C outcomes while capping odds for 30°C or higher. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$341,619End Date
Jul 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders are clustering around 25–28°C for Seoul’s July 8 high because the East Asian monsoon remains active, with official Korea Meteorological Administration and model guidance indicating widespread cloud cover and heavy rain that limits daytime heating. Typical July climatology features 28–30°C peaks, yet current forecasts emphasize precipitation-driven moderation, keeping maximum temperatures near the lower end of the seasonal range. Humidity and frontal boundaries add uncertainty, allowing modest warming if breaks in cloud occur, which supports the near-even distribution across 26–28°C outcomes while capping odds for 30°C or higher. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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