Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to peak temperatures in Karachi on July 20 clustering around 32–33°C as the most probable range, driven by moderate monsoon cloud cover, Arabian Sea breezes, and typical July humidity levels that limit daytime maxima near the coast. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger heating under clearer skies or suppressed convection, while heavy rainfall episodes could further cap readings below 32°C. These dynamics align with historical July baselines for the city and explain the market's tight distribution favoring the 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Traders will monitor updated model runs and observational data through the weekend for any shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on July 20?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 20?
33°C 44%
32°C 32%
34°C 13%
31°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jul 20, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
32%
33°C
44%
34°C
13%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 44%
32°C 32%
34°C 13%
31°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jul 20, 2026
27°C or below
$414 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$212 Vol.
1%
30°C
$50 Vol.
2%
31°C
$596 Vol.
12%
32°C
$529 Vol.
32%
33°C
$252 Vol.
44%
34°C
$192 Vol.
13%
35°C
$195 Vol.
2%
36°C
$56 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$430 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to peak temperatures in Karachi on July 20 clustering around 32–33°C as the most probable range, driven by moderate monsoon cloud cover, Arabian Sea breezes, and typical July humidity levels that limit daytime maxima near the coast. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger heating under clearer skies or suppressed convection, while heavy rainfall episodes could further cap readings below 32°C. These dynamics align with historical July baselines for the city and explain the market's tight distribution favoring the 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Traders will monitor updated model runs and observational data through the weekend for any shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 18, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,082End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to peak temperatures in Karachi on July 20 clustering around 32–33°C as the most probable range, driven by moderate monsoon cloud cover, Arabian Sea breezes, and typical July humidity levels that limit daytime maxima near the coast. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger heating under clearer skies or suppressed convection, while heavy rainfall episodes could further cap readings below 32°C. These dynamics align with historical July baselines for the city and explain the market's tight distribution favoring the 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Traders will monitor updated model runs and observational data through the weekend for any shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,082End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to peak temperatures in Karachi on July 20 clustering around 32–33°C as the most probable range, driven by moderate monsoon cloud cover, Arabian Sea breezes, and typical July humidity levels that limit daytime maxima near the coast. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger heating under clearer skies or suppressed convection, while heavy rainfall episodes could further cap readings below 32°C. These dynamics align with historical July baselines for the city and explain the market's tight distribution favoring the 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Traders will monitor updated model runs and observational data through the weekend for any shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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