Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from major global systems, indicate Ankara’s July 10 maximum will likely settle near 29 °C under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau. This ridge suppresses cloud cover and supports clear, dry conditions typical of mid-summer continental climate, aligning with historical July averages of 29–30 °C for daily highs. Current short-range guidance clusters tightly around 28–30 °C, which explains the market’s concentration of probability on those three outcomes (43.5 % at 29 °C, 20.5 % at 28 °C, 19.5 % at 30 °C). Minor model spread and potential afternoon wind or slight moisture shifts keep 28 °C and 30 °C viable, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on July 10?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 10?
29°C 44%
28°C 23%
30°C 20%
27°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 10, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
23%
29°C
44%
30°C
20%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 44%
28°C 23%
30°C 20%
27°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 10, 2026
25°C or below
$53 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$49 Vol.
1%
27°C
$3 Vol.
5%
28°C
$389 Vol.
23%
29°C
$467 Vol.
44%
30°C
$573 Vol.
20%
31°C
$3 Vol.
5%
32°C
$198 Vol.
1%
33°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from major global systems, indicate Ankara’s July 10 maximum will likely settle near 29 °C under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau. This ridge suppresses cloud cover and supports clear, dry conditions typical of mid-summer continental climate, aligning with historical July averages of 29–30 °C for daily highs. Current short-range guidance clusters tightly around 28–30 °C, which explains the market’s concentration of probability on those three outcomes (43.5 % at 29 °C, 20.5 % at 28 °C, 19.5 % at 30 °C). Minor model spread and potential afternoon wind or slight moisture shifts keep 28 °C and 30 °C viable, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,923End Date
Jul 10, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from major global systems, indicate Ankara’s July 10 maximum will likely settle near 29 °C under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau. This ridge suppresses cloud cover and supports clear, dry conditions typical of mid-summer continental climate, aligning with historical July averages of 29–30 °C for daily highs. Current short-range guidance clusters tightly around 28–30 °C, which explains the market’s concentration of probability on those three outcomes (43.5 % at 29 °C, 20.5 % at 28 °C, 19.5 % at 30 °C). Minor model spread and potential afternoon wind or slight moisture shifts keep 28 °C and 30 °C viable, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,923End Date
Jul 10, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from major global systems, indicate Ankara’s July 10 maximum will likely settle near 29 °C under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau. This ridge suppresses cloud cover and supports clear, dry conditions typical of mid-summer continental climate, aligning with historical July averages of 29–30 °C for daily highs. Current short-range guidance clusters tightly around 28–30 °C, which explains the market’s concentration of probability on those three outcomes (43.5 % at 29 °C, 20.5 % at 28 °C, 19.5 % at 30 °C). Minor model spread and potential afternoon wind or slight moisture shifts keep 28 °C and 30 °C viable, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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