Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a cooler-than-average early July period over central Turkey, driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau that has suppressed daytime heating after earlier peaks above 30°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around 28–30°C maxima for July 8, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Historical July climatology for Ankara places average highs near 30°C, yet the current synoptic setup favors modest daytime temperatures with limited potential for rapid warming before the market resolves. Traders are weighting official guidance against possible short-term model revisions closer to the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on July 8?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 8?
29°C 38%
30°C 34%
28°C 12%
31°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Jul 8, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
12%
29°C
38%
30°C
34%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 34%
28°C 12%
31°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Jul 8, 2026
24°C or below
$137 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$33 Vol.
1%
26°C
$95 Vol.
2%
27°C
$79 Vol.
4%
28°C
$134 Vol.
12%
29°C
$341 Vol.
38%
30°C
$157 Vol.
34%
31°C
$117 Vol.
4%
32°C
$221 Vol.
1%
33°C
$182 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$128 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a cooler-than-average early July period over central Turkey, driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau that has suppressed daytime heating after earlier peaks above 30°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around 28–30°C maxima for July 8, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Historical July climatology for Ankara places average highs near 30°C, yet the current synoptic setup favors modest daytime temperatures with limited potential for rapid warming before the market resolves. Traders are weighting official guidance against possible short-term model revisions closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,577End Date
Jul 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a cooler-than-average early July period over central Turkey, driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau that has suppressed daytime heating after earlier peaks above 30°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around 28–30°C maxima for July 8, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Historical July climatology for Ankara places average highs near 30°C, yet the current synoptic setup favors modest daytime temperatures with limited potential for rapid warming before the market resolves. Traders are weighting official guidance against possible short-term model revisions closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,577End Date
Jul 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a cooler-than-average early July period over central Turkey, driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau that has suppressed daytime heating after earlier peaks above 30°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around 28–30°C maxima for July 8, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Historical July climatology for Ankara places average highs near 30°C, yet the current synoptic setup favors modest daytime temperatures with limited potential for rapid warming before the market resolves. Traders are weighting official guidance against possible short-term model revisions closer to the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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