Recent forecasts for Qingdao point to persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea and northeasterly onshore flow moderating daytime highs near 27–30°C on July 6 amid light rain and extensive cloud cover that limits solar insolation. These conditions align with early-July climatology while creating tight differentiation among 29–35°C outcomes, as modest reductions in cloud thickness or brief warm advection could allow temperatures to edge higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies highlights model spread on precipitation timing and wind shifts, sustaining dispersed trader probabilities around the central range rather than strong consensus on any single threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 6?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 6?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$65,258 Vol.
$65,258 Vol.
Jul 6, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$65,258 Vol.
$65,258 Vol.
Jul 6, 2026
25°C or below
$2,668 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,348 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,420 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,616 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,998 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,500 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,132 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,795 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,512 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$8,674 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$5,594 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao point to persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea and northeasterly onshore flow moderating daytime highs near 27–30°C on July 6 amid light rain and extensive cloud cover that limits solar insolation. These conditions align with early-July climatology while creating tight differentiation among 29–35°C outcomes, as modest reductions in cloud thickness or brief warm advection could allow temperatures to edge higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies highlights model spread on precipitation timing and wind shifts, sustaining dispersed trader probabilities around the central range rather than strong consensus on any single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$65,258End Date
Jul 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao point to persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea and northeasterly onshore flow moderating daytime highs near 27–30°C on July 6 amid light rain and extensive cloud cover that limits solar insolation. These conditions align with early-July climatology while creating tight differentiation among 29–35°C outcomes, as modest reductions in cloud thickness or brief warm advection could allow temperatures to edge higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies highlights model spread on precipitation timing and wind shifts, sustaining dispersed trader probabilities around the central range rather than strong consensus on any single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,258End Date
Jul 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts for Qingdao point to persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea and northeasterly onshore flow moderating daytime highs near 27–30°C on July 6 amid light rain and extensive cloud cover that limits solar insolation. These conditions align with early-July climatology while creating tight differentiation among 29–35°C outcomes, as modest reductions in cloud thickness or brief warm advection could allow temperatures to edge higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies highlights model spread on precipitation timing and wind shifts, sustaining dispersed trader probabilities around the central range rather than strong consensus on any single threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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