Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Ankara on July 7 centered around 27–29°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities between these outcomes. Subtle differences arise from model variations in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon convective cloud development, and Ankara’s urban heat-island amplification, which can add 1–2°C locally depending on wind speed and surface moisture. Historical July climatology shows average maxima near 29°C with low precipitation, supporting the elevated odds for 28–30°C while leaving room for cooler realizations if a transient trough increases cloud cover or strengthens northerly flow. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on July 7?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 7?
28°C 41%
27°C 25%
29°C 20%
26°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
25%
28°C
41%
29°C
20%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 41%
27°C 25%
29°C 20%
26°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
23°C or below
$552 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$827 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,402 Vol.
4%
26°C
$293 Vol.
8%
27°C
$298 Vol.
25%
28°C
$297 Vol.
41%
29°C
$419 Vol.
20%
30°C
$146 Vol.
3%
31°C
$170 Vol.
1%
32°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$91 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Ankara on July 7 centered around 27–29°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities between these outcomes. Subtle differences arise from model variations in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon convective cloud development, and Ankara’s urban heat-island amplification, which can add 1–2°C locally depending on wind speed and surface moisture. Historical July climatology shows average maxima near 29°C with low precipitation, supporting the elevated odds for 28–30°C while leaving room for cooler realizations if a transient trough increases cloud cover or strengthens northerly flow. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,749End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Ankara on July 7 centered around 27–29°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities between these outcomes. Subtle differences arise from model variations in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon convective cloud development, and Ankara’s urban heat-island amplification, which can add 1–2°C locally depending on wind speed and surface moisture. Historical July climatology shows average maxima near 29°C with low precipitation, supporting the elevated odds for 28–30°C while leaving room for cooler realizations if a transient trough increases cloud cover or strengthens northerly flow. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,749End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Ankara on July 7 centered around 27–29°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities between these outcomes. Subtle differences arise from model variations in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon convective cloud development, and Ankara’s urban heat-island amplification, which can add 1–2°C locally depending on wind speed and surface moisture. Historical July climatology shows average maxima near 29°C with low precipitation, supporting the elevated odds for 28–30°C while leaving room for cooler realizations if a transient trough increases cloud cover or strengthens northerly flow. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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