Traders see the highest temperature in Seoul on July 5 clustering tightly around 27–29 °C because current model consensus and recent observations point to typical early-July monsoon conditions rather than extremes. High humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers—driven by the East Asian summer monsoon—limit daytime heating, while light southerly winds and urban heat-island effects in the Seoul basin keep maxima near the 28–30 °C historical average. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact timing of any rain bands, afternoon insolation, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. New Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on July 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 5?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$162,372 Vol.
$162,372 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$162,372 Vol.
$162,372 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
22°C or below
$1,382 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,504 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,684 Vol.
No
25°C
$18,105 Vol.
No
26°C
$26,578 Vol.
No
27°C
$35,635 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$19,352 Vol.
No
29°C
$21,847 Vol.
No
30°C
$18,628 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,310 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$5,349 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Seoul on July 5 clustering tightly around 27–29 °C because current model consensus and recent observations point to typical early-July monsoon conditions rather than extremes. High humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers—driven by the East Asian summer monsoon—limit daytime heating, while light southerly winds and urban heat-island effects in the Seoul basin keep maxima near the 28–30 °C historical average. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact timing of any rain bands, afternoon insolation, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. New Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$162,372End Date
Jul 5, 2026Market Opened
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Seoul on July 5 clustering tightly around 27–29 °C because current model consensus and recent observations point to typical early-July monsoon conditions rather than extremes. High humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers—driven by the East Asian summer monsoon—limit daytime heating, while light southerly winds and urban heat-island effects in the Seoul basin keep maxima near the 28–30 °C historical average. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact timing of any rain bands, afternoon insolation, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. New Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$162,372End Date
Jul 5, 2026Market Opened
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders see the highest temperature in Seoul on July 5 clustering tightly around 27–29 °C because current model consensus and recent observations point to typical early-July monsoon conditions rather than extremes. High humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers—driven by the East Asian summer monsoon—limit daytime heating, while light southerly winds and urban heat-island effects in the Seoul basin keep maxima near the 28–30 °C historical average. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact timing of any rain bands, afternoon insolation, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. New Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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