**Current forecasts place Chongqing's July 6 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius**, with ensemble models showing roughly even odds between 34°C and 35°C. This reflects typical mid-summer conditions in the city's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography, where heat accumulates under high solar insolation and limited ventilation. Key differentiating factors include afternoon convective cloud cover or scattered showers, which can shave 1–2°C off peak readings, versus clearer skies allowing full radiative heating. Humidity remains elevated but primarily affects perceived temperature rather than the official dry-bulb maximum. Recent model runs show minor spread around these values due to uncertainty in steering patterns and local urban heat-island effects, keeping trader probabilities closely balanced until updated guidance narrows the range closer to the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 6?
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$76,737 Vol.
$76,737 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$76,737 Vol.
$76,737 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Current forecasts place Chongqing's July 6 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius**, with ensemble models showing roughly even odds between 34°C and 35°C. This reflects typical mid-summer conditions in the city's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography, where heat accumulates under high solar insolation and limited ventilation. Key differentiating factors include afternoon convective cloud cover or scattered showers, which can shave 1–2°C off peak readings, versus clearer skies allowing full radiative heating. Humidity remains elevated but primarily affects perceived temperature rather than the official dry-bulb maximum. Recent model runs show minor spread around these values due to uncertainty in steering patterns and local urban heat-island effects, keeping trader probabilities closely balanced until updated guidance narrows the range closer to the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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