Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a July 6 high near 30°C in Seoul amid ongoing East Asian monsoon conditions, with overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (around 70%) that can suppress peak readings through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration, where variables including cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer moisture could lower maxima by 1–3°C relative to clearer scenarios. Historical July baselines hover near 29–30°C, but active storm patterns this week introduce volatility, with updated guidance expected from official monitoring ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on July 6?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$172,613 Vol.
$172,613 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$172,613 Vol.
$172,613 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a July 6 high near 30°C in Seoul amid ongoing East Asian monsoon conditions, with overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (around 70%) that can suppress peak readings through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration, where variables including cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer moisture could lower maxima by 1–3°C relative to clearer scenarios. Historical July baselines hover near 29–30°C, but active storm patterns this week introduce volatility, with updated guidance expected from official monitoring ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions