Traders see 34°C as the most likely high for Lucknow on July 15 because active monsoon conditions are expected to deliver cloud cover, scattered rainfall, and elevated humidity that typically cap afternoon temperatures near or slightly above the July average of 33–34°C. Recent IMD observations show maximums fluctuating between 33°C and 36°C amid variable thundershowers, with model guidance indicating possible breaks in rain that could allow brief warming to 35–36°C or keep readings closer to 33°C depending on steering winds and moisture influx. This narrow range of outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the timing and intensity of monsoon surges over northern India, where even small shifts in cloudiness or wind patterns can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 15?
34°C 29%
33°C 23%
36°C or higher 19%
35°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Jul 15, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
9%
33°C
23%
34°C
29%
35°C
18%
36°C or higher
19%
34°C 29%
33°C 23%
36°C or higher 19%
35°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Jul 15, 2026
26°C or below
$231 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,393 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$944 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$703 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$104 Vol.
1%
31°C
$25 Vol.
6%
32°C
$3 Vol.
9%
33°C
$15 Vol.
23%
34°C
$1 Vol.
29%
35°C
$624 Vol.
18%
36°C or higher
$238 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 34°C as the most likely high for Lucknow on July 15 because active monsoon conditions are expected to deliver cloud cover, scattered rainfall, and elevated humidity that typically cap afternoon temperatures near or slightly above the July average of 33–34°C. Recent IMD observations show maximums fluctuating between 33°C and 36°C amid variable thundershowers, with model guidance indicating possible breaks in rain that could allow brief warming to 35–36°C or keep readings closer to 33°C depending on steering winds and moisture influx. This narrow range of outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the timing and intensity of monsoon surges over northern India, where even small shifts in cloudiness or wind patterns can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,282End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 34°C as the most likely high for Lucknow on July 15 because active monsoon conditions are expected to deliver cloud cover, scattered rainfall, and elevated humidity that typically cap afternoon temperatures near or slightly above the July average of 33–34°C. Recent IMD observations show maximums fluctuating between 33°C and 36°C amid variable thundershowers, with model guidance indicating possible breaks in rain that could allow brief warming to 35–36°C or keep readings closer to 33°C depending on steering winds and moisture influx. This narrow range of outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the timing and intensity of monsoon surges over northern India, where even small shifts in cloudiness or wind patterns can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,282End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 34°C as the most likely high for Lucknow on July 15 because active monsoon conditions are expected to deliver cloud cover, scattered rainfall, and elevated humidity that typically cap afternoon temperatures near or slightly above the July average of 33–34°C. Recent IMD observations show maximums fluctuating between 33°C and 36°C amid variable thundershowers, with model guidance indicating possible breaks in rain that could allow brief warming to 35–36°C or keep readings closer to 33°C depending on steering winds and moisture influx. This narrow range of outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the timing and intensity of monsoon surges over northern India, where even small shifts in cloudiness or wind patterns can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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