Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to peak temperatures of 32–33°C in Karachi on July 15 under typical early-monsoon conditions, with above-normal seasonal temperatures offset by coastal moderation. Persistent southwesterly flow brings moderate humidity and scattered cloud cover that limits daytime heating, while the Arabian Sea breeze often intensifies in the afternoon to cap maxima near the lower end of the range. Any increase in low-level moisture or brief convective activity could further suppress readings to 32°C, whereas clearer intervals would allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Historical July averages hover around 33°C, but day-to-day variability from these factors keeps the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on July 15?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 15?
33°C 43%
32°C 32%
34°C 13%
31°C 8%
NEW
$12,208 Vol.
NEW
$12,208 Vol.
Jul 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
32%
33°C
43%
34°C
13%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
32°C 32%
34°C 13%
31°C 8%
NEW
$12,208 Vol.
NEW
$12,208 Vol.
Jul 15, 2026
27°C or below
$447 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,001 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,042 Vol.
1%
30°C
$699 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,312 Vol.
8%
32°C
$2,896 Vol.
32%
33°C
$848 Vol.
43%
34°C
$2,272 Vol.
13%
35°C
$743 Vol.
2%
36°C
$523 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$426 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to peak temperatures of 32–33°C in Karachi on July 15 under typical early-monsoon conditions, with above-normal seasonal temperatures offset by coastal moderation. Persistent southwesterly flow brings moderate humidity and scattered cloud cover that limits daytime heating, while the Arabian Sea breeze often intensifies in the afternoon to cap maxima near the lower end of the range. Any increase in low-level moisture or brief convective activity could further suppress readings to 32°C, whereas clearer intervals would allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Historical July averages hover around 33°C, but day-to-day variability from these factors keeps the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$12,208End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to peak temperatures of 32–33°C in Karachi on July 15 under typical early-monsoon conditions, with above-normal seasonal temperatures offset by coastal moderation. Persistent southwesterly flow brings moderate humidity and scattered cloud cover that limits daytime heating, while the Arabian Sea breeze often intensifies in the afternoon to cap maxima near the lower end of the range. Any increase in low-level moisture or brief convective activity could further suppress readings to 32°C, whereas clearer intervals would allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Historical July averages hover around 33°C, but day-to-day variability from these factors keeps the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,208End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to peak temperatures of 32–33°C in Karachi on July 15 under typical early-monsoon conditions, with above-normal seasonal temperatures offset by coastal moderation. Persistent southwesterly flow brings moderate humidity and scattered cloud cover that limits daytime heating, while the Arabian Sea breeze often intensifies in the afternoon to cap maxima near the lower end of the range. Any increase in low-level moisture or brief convective activity could further suppress readings to 32°C, whereas clearer intervals would allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Historical July averages hover around 33°C, but day-to-day variability from these factors keeps the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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